033
FXUS63 KLBF 092141
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
341 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High winds tonight are expected across most of the area. High
  Wind Warning is in effect for areas across the Sandhills and
  northern Nebraska.

- Colder Wednesday then a warm up expected again on Thursday.

- Much colder air arrives this weekend as arctic high pressure
  filters south into the region.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 335 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

High Wind Warning potential is the main concern in the near term. A
potent Alberta Clipper system will dive southeastward across the
northern plains into mid Mississippi valley this afternoon through
tonight. A couple of different shots of stronger wind potential this
afternoon and tonight. 1) very strong downslope winds are occurring
this afternoon across eastern Wyoming into the Nebraska Panhandle.
This is a result of high pressure across the higher terrain to the
west and falling pressure across the plains due to the deepening
surface low associated with the Clipper system. Gusts in excess of
70 mph have been noted across eastern Wyoming and in the higher
elevations (Front Range) of Colorado. A recent gust to 69 mph has
been noted at the Scottsbluff airport in the western Nebraska
Panhandle. Issued a high wind warning for Sheridan and Garden county
as some of these stronger gusts to around 60 mph appear they could
make it that far east this afternoon before loosing momentum farther
to the east. 2) As the surface low migrates southeastward from North
Dakota toward Iowa late this afternoon and tonight, expect a strong
cold front to surge southward into the area. This cold frontal
passage will coincide with steepening O-3km lapse rates, along with
a PV anomaly that will move southeastward across north central
through central Nebraska. The better mixing in the 0-3km range
should allow for strong wind gusts (60 mph) to potentially reach the
surface through the overnight hours. For now it appears southwest
Nebraska and the southwest portions of the Sandhills should remain
just under criteria and won`t carry any headlines for these areas.

Surface high pressure will quickly build into the area Wednesday. As
a result the winds quickly diminish. Colder temperatures will occur
behind the front as a modified Canadian airmass briefly crosses the
area. Highs Wednesday will range from the mid 30s across north
central Nebraska to the mid 40s across southwest portions of the
state.

Warmer temperatures return Thursday as a leeward surface trough
develops and moves east across the area. Highs well into the 60s are
expected west of the surface trough (for areas roughly west of
Highway 183). Fire weather could become a concern as gusty west
winds and lower humidity also develop with the warmer temperatures.
Conditions look elevated at this time, but will continue to monitor
for greater potential.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 335 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Northwest flow aloft continues into the weekend. Strong arctic high
pressure will settle southward into the Dakotas with a strong cold
front surging southward through the area Friday. A reinforcing cold
front then backs in from the northeast Saturday. This will keep
portions of north central Nebraska in the teens for highs Saturday.
A slow moderation in temperatures is then expected Sunday into
Monday. At this time, it appears that most if not all of the
precipitation should remain north of the area across South Dakota.
Ensemble probabilities confirm this, with precipitation accumulation
of 0.01" or greater remaining mostly north of the border.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 1143 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Strong northwest winds are expected this afternoon and tonight
across all of western and north central Nebraska. Low-level wind
shear will be of concern much of tonight. VFR conditions are
expected to prevail with broken mid and high level cloudiness.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
High Wind Warning until midnight CST /11 PM MST/ tonight for
NEZ004-022-023-035-036.
High Wind Warning until 6 AM CST /5 AM MST/ Wednesday for
NEZ005-006-008-009-024>027-094.
High Wind Warning until 6 AM CST Wednesday for NEZ007-010-028-
029-037-038.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Taylor
LONG TERM...Taylor
AVIATION...Taylor