Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
829 FXUS64 KLCH 031131 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 531 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - A light freeze is expected roughly north of the I-10 corridor Wednesday morning. - Another coastal low developing and moving up the Texas gulf coast will produce showers and a few thunderstorms across the region this evening and tonight. An approaching cold front will keep precipitation chances elevated Thursday and Friday. - Dry and cool conditions expected Sunday through early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday night) Issued at 527 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Light, northerly winds and clear skies across much of the region have allowed temperatures to fall into the upper 30s early this morning. Some persistent high clouds that have remained in place across central Louisiana yesterday and tonight may disrupt radiational cooling enough to keep temperatures at or slightly above freezing. The previously forecasted low of 28 at Alexandria is going to struggle to verify if the cloud cover remains in place. Temperatures this afternoon will warm into the lower 60s across much of the area aided by southeasterly turning winds in advance of an inverted trof and surface coastal low moving up the Texas coastline. This low will initialize widespread showers and a few embedded thunderstorms beginning late this evening and expanding after midnight Thursday morning. This coastal low is still progged to merge into and become absorbed by a southward advancing frontal boundary which will effectively stall an elongated trof across the northern gulf coast providing a focus for more or less continuous stratiform showers along with some embedded heavier rain both Thursday and Friday. Jones && .LONG TERM... (Saturday through Wednesday) Issued at 527 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Rain will finally be pushed out of the area Saturday afternoon into Saturday night by a more progressive frontal boundary. Drier and cooler conditions will develop behind the front Sunday into early next week with lows in the upper 30s to lower 40s and highs in the 60s along with some much deserved sunshine. Jones && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 527 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Stratus is spreading into the region this morning and will reach KBPT and KLCH over the next few hours. The stratus deck at KAEX is expected to dissipate after sunrise only to redevelop later. Rain will spread across the entire area this evening and linger through Thursday. This will cause IFR and potentially LIFR conditions tonight. winds will be generally east to southeast today as low pressure approaches. && .MARINE... Issued at 527 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Diminishing offshore flow this morning will turn onshore by this afternoon ahead of a developing coastal low that will bring widespread precipitation across the coastal waters Wednesday night through late Saturday. Strong offshore winds and increasing seas are expected to develop Thursday in the vicinity of the center of the coastal low before abating late Friday as the low pushes off to the east. Drier conditions and light to moderate offshore winds will prevail from Sunday through early next week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 527 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Winds will turn southeasterly this morning ahead of an approaching coastal low moving up the Texas coast. Dewpoints will climb from the lower 30s into the 40s and 50s by this evening with widespread showers beginning late this evening and continuing through Friday evening. Precipitation chances gradually diminish Saturday with cooler, drier air pushing back into the region Sunday on northerly winds behind a passing cold front. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 57 42 51 39 / 0 90 90 80 LCH 62 51 60 45 / 0 100 90 60 LFT 62 50 59 47 / 0 90 100 80 BPT 66 54 64 45 / 10 90 90 50 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...66 LONG TERM....66 AVIATION...05