Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
362 FXUS64 KLCH 040531 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1131 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - Cool and dry conditions will prevail today. - Warmer temperatures and higher humidity expected Wednesday through the end of the week. - Another cold front will push through the area early next week. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday night) Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 Surface high pressure situated across the Mississippi River Valley is providing clear skies, light winds, and cool temps across the forecast once again tonight. Temps should bottom out in the low to mid 40s as we approach sunrise, which will be the last time most of us see sub-50 degree temps for about a week. Surface high pressure will gradually shift towards the Carolinas today, turning winds back to the SE by this afternoon. Onshore surface winds will then prevail through the remainder of the short term period, allowing low level moisture to increase and dewpoints to steadily rise through the next 48 hours or so. Today will be our last seasonal and dry day, with dewpoints expected to rebound from the low/mid 40s this afternoon into the low/mid 60s by Thurs afternoon. Temperature wise, highs reach into the mid 70s this afternoon and warm into the mid/upper 70s tomorrow and Thurs, while overnight lows will be where moisture return is most noticeable, with lows in the low/mid 60s by Thurs night. && .LONG TERM... (Friday through next Monday) Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 After a couple of days of steady moisture return, Friday and Saturday bring warm and muggy conditions before another cold front finally arrives on Sunday. On Friday, a surge of moisture from the central Gulf will interact with a passing upper level disturbance to produce scattered showers and storms. Most of this convection looks to be more across SE LA, but some of these storms could extend across the I-49 corridor and lower Acadiana. Elsewhere, warm and humid conditions prevail with highs in the low to mid 80s both Fri and Sat. Finally, a cold front arrives Sunday morning, with winds turning back to the north by sunrise. This front may be accompanied by a few showers, but Friday`s disturbance will likely use up a good chunk of the available moisture so rain chances are overall very low. Temperatures and dewpoints will slowly fall throughout the afternoon hours on Sunday, with highs reaching into the mid 70s. Cold air advection continues overnight into the new work week, with below average temps and dry weather expected through the end of the long term period. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 No deviations from VFR are expected through the period. Light to near calm winds will gradually turn to the SE through the afternoon hours, remaining light. && .MARINE... Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 Light ENE to E winds will gradually turn to the SE through this afternoon as high pressure shifts east away from the region. Light to moderate onshore flow and low seas will then persist through the end of the week into the weekend, until the passage of another cold front early Sunday. A few showers and storms will be possibly on Friday, especially across the eastern most zones, with otherwise dry conditions prevailing. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1130 PM CST Mon Nov 3 2025 Minimum RH values this afternoon will again range from 25-35%, with light easterly winds this morning gradually turning more southeast to south this afternoon into tonight. Onshore flow will then prevail through Saturday, allowing temperatures and humidity to increasing through the second half of the week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 70 40 74 45 / 0 0 0 0 LCH 71 45 74 55 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 70 44 74 53 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 73 47 76 56 / 0 0 0 0 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...17 LONG TERM....17 AVIATION...17