Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
848 FXUS64 KLCH 230555 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1155 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... - Slightly cooler and drier conditions to end the weekend behind a weak cold front. - A stronger cold front is expected on Tuesday with high rain chances late Monday into Tuesday. - Cooler and more seasonable temperatures is expected for Thanksgiving. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Monday night) Issued at 1154 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025 Weak cold front will move out into the coastal waters later this afternoon ending shower activity and bringing slightly cooler and drier conditions into Sunday. As a storm system moves northeast from the southwest US into the Plains, southerly winds will return on Monday bringing Gulf moisture quickly back into the region. With PWAT nearing 1.5 inches and the 90th percentile of climo by late afternoon into the night. Light ahead of a advancing cold front and upper level trough will allow scattered showers and thunderstorms to develop. Rua && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 1154 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025 Upper level trough and cold front will continue to move eastward on Tuesday with showers and thunderstorms gradually ending. Still some timing difference in the global models as to when the front will clear the region, however, by Wednesday and drier and significantly cooler air is expected to move into the forecast area. A mix for modified Canadian air and Pacific air will bring seasonally cool temperatures for the forecast area on Wednesday that will continue into the Thanksgiving holiday. Pattern remains progressive and active with the next storm system looking like it will affect the forecast area next weekend. Rua && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1154 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025 A few areas of patchy fog will be possible early this morning. Any fog that develops will dissipate by 14Z with VFR conditions to prevail thereafter. Light northerly winds will prevail through the taf period. Jones && .MARINE... Issued at 1154 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025 A brief period of modest offshore winds can be expected tonight into Sunday behind a weak cold front. Modest onshore winds can be expected by Monday ahead of a stronger cold front on Tuesday. This front will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms. Strong north winds are expected behind this front for the mid week period. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1154 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2025 Slightly drier and cooler conditions tonight into Sunday behind a weak cold front. Gulf moisture will return on Monday with a good chance of seeing rain late Monday into Tuesday ahead of a stronger cold front. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 79 48 72 51 / 10 0 0 0 LCH 81 54 76 58 / 20 0 0 0 LFT 82 54 76 57 / 20 0 0 0 BPT 82 54 76 61 / 20 0 0 10 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....07 AVIATION...66