Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
Issued by NWS Lake Charles, LA
032 FXUS64 KLCH 081815 AFDLCH Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 1215 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER... .KEY MESSAGES... - Cool conditions expected overnight with easing north winds. - Moisture returns through the mid to late week bringing milder temperatures, but no organized rainfall chances to the area through the end the work week. - Slightly cooler, but seasonable conditions expected to trend into the weekend with very low chances for rainfall forecast at this time. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday night) Issued at 1145 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 A large shortwave trough broadening over the Ohio Valley will continue to facilitate cold air advection across the forecast area through tonight while the front advances further offshore. Winds are forecast to ease Tuesday morning becoming light and variable before shifting onshore Tuesday night as the ridge begins to consolidate over the Carolinas. Mid to upper level winds will keep dry continental air aloft through the midweek, however. Thus, with a drier atmosphere, we can expect mostly clear skies tomorrow through Wednesday. Daily highs will trend warmer to the low 70`s by this time. However, lows will remain more seasonable, dropping down to the lower 40`s with some backyards in CenLA observing 30`s through the remainder of the short term. Kowalski / 30 && .LONG TERM... (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 1145 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Seasonable temperatures can be expected Thursday with highs in the upper 60`s as winds mix more continental air across the forecast area while westerly components aloft increase. Additionally, onshore moisture advection increases in response to a weak trough deepening off the Sierra Madres into the central Gulf. That said, it appears majority of guidances keeps this feature well south of E`rn TX and LA so PoPs remain negligible. However, temperatures and dewpoints will increase toward the mid 70`s and low 60`s, respectively. Progressing through the weekend, conditions still appear to trend dry at the surface with the trough migrating east over the central Gulf. It`s worth noting an element of uncertainty with regards to the upcoming weekend. As it stands in the forecast, mild conditions are in the works with an increase in afternoon cloudcover, however, rainfall appears to keep south of the forecast area. Some deterministic guidance have been suggestive that the broad trough in the Gulf lifts a bit further north toward the coast, but given the distance between the upstream trough over New England, the practicality of this solution is stretched. Kowalski / 30 && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1145 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Conditions will trend toward VFR through the afternoon. Ceilings continue to hang in MVFR range across Acadiana terminal which may take until evening before clearing out BKN skies. Otherwise terminals to the west of LFT / ARA should remain VFR through the overnight hours. Calm winds expected near dawn which may lead to some reduced VIS across Central LA, but dense fog is not anticipated. Dry conditions continue into the day of the 09th. 30 && .MARINE... Issued at 1145 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Small Craft Advisory remains in effect over the offshore waters through 6PM. North winds will ease this evening allowing conditions to lower through Tuesday as winds become NE with variable components. Winds become southerly Wednesday before gaining variable components once again through the end of the week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1145 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Fire weather concerns are not overly anticipated due to the improvement in ground moisture from recent rains. Breezy northerly winds will ease this evening and remain light through Tuesday. An increase of Gulf moisture will occur overnight into Wednesday with brief onshore winds lasting through the day before light and variable winds under broadening high pressure return Thursday. At this time there are no notable chances for rain over the next 6 days. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AEX 54 31 59 39 / 0 0 0 0 LCH 58 35 60 46 / 0 0 0 0 LFT 56 34 59 42 / 0 0 0 0 BPT 60 38 62 47 / 0 0 0 0 && .LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... LA...None. TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST this evening for GMZ450-452- 455-470-472-475. && $$ SHORT TERM...30 LONG TERM....30 AVIATION...30