945
FXUS64 KLIX 070855
AFDLIX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
355 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Saturday)
Issued at 352 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Front has settled offshore where the only moisture available for and
storm activity. So the drying throughout the column has been
achieved bringing Precip numbers closer to zero than they have been
for quite a while. Good dry weekend coming up. The only problem with
dry is the heat, and temps will be topping out in the mid 90s each
day. The dry air will allow us to keep the heat headlines off the
page for now but conditions will still be quite warm with indices
topping around 103F.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through Thursday)
Issued at 352 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

The next front will be finding its way here by Tue but moisture
loading ahead of this front will start Monday and sh/ts could be
produced by the later afternoon hours Monday but moreso Tue as
forcing will be at its best with the front moving through late in
the day. This front will force all of this moisture back into the
gulf once more for Wed into the end of next week. There is a large
plume of moisture from near the Yucatan NEward over the FL straits
into the Atlantic. This plume normally comes into the gulf at some
point this time of year and this is also when the headlines hit for
flooding somewhere along the gulf coast(lots of times near the
Houston area). This normally is sort of monsoonish once it stalls in
a position where it continually provides deep tropical moisture to
an area. Right on que, there is some indications that this plume
will begin to move like a windshield wiper from where it is located
now westward through the gulf. We will have to see where this sets
up eventually to see which gulf coast areas will get the most
rainfall from it. This is way past this fcast, so its just a
synoptic trend that is being set.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 352 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

VFR will be at all terminals today with exception of ASD and HUM
which could have some short term IFR due to vis this morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 352 AM CDT Fri Jun 7 2024

Light northerly winds today will become more variable Sat with a
return flow Sun ahead of the next front that should stall offshore
Wed bringing northerly winds to the area once again. All of these
winds will be light outside any storms that are able to develop.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  91  64  92  69 /   0   0   0   0
BTR  96  70  96  74 /   0   0   0   0
ASD  95  69  94  73 /   0   0   0   0
MSY  93  76  93  76 /  10   0   0   0
GPT  94  71  90  75 /   0   0   0   0
PQL  96  67  93  72 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...TE
LONG TERM....TE
AVIATION...TE
MARINE...TE