Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
048 FXUS65 KLKN 300830 AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Elko NV 1230 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1215 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025 * A storm system will overspread much of Northern and Central Nevada the rest of tonight through 4 PM Sunday * Heaviest snowfall is expected across Elko County where most valley locations will receive between a trace and half an inch of snow, higher amounts across summits * Coldest temperatures so far this season expected Sunday night * A second storm system is expected Tuesday into Wednesday, with snowfall mainly confined to mountains of Elko County && .UPDATE... Issued at 1215 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025 Current forecast is tracking well; no changes have been made to the current seven day forecast. && .DISCUSSION... (This afternoon through next Saturday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A shortwave trough is still on track to bring widespread flurries and snow across the coverage area through this afternoon. Accumulations have contracted slightly since the previous forecast, with serious accumulations (4-8 inches) limited to mountains in Elko and White Pine counties, up to an inch on mountain passes, and a trace to half an inch in valleys. Snow is mainly expected during the overnight and early morning hours, but may linger in portions of eastern Nevada through the afternoon. Temperatures behind this system will be noticeably colder, with highs in the 30s to low 40s and overnight lows dropping into the teens for tomorrow night. Some of the coldest valleys may even reach single digits. Winds are also expected to pick up, gusting 20-25 mph on Sunday. Cold conditions continue for Monday with highs remaining in the 30s and 40s, but overnight lows will return to the teens and 20s. A second shortwave is expected Tuesday and Tuesday night, bringing snow showers to northern Nevada, with flurries possible in central Nevada. This system looks much drier than the weekend one, with only a trace expected for valleys and passes and a maximum accumulation of about five inches in the Jarbidge Wilderness. Daytime temperatures behind the system will be in the 30s and low 40s for Wednesday and Thursday. Long range guidance shows upper ridging building for Friday and Saturday, which would allow temperatures to begin to climb again, allowing a few areas to reach the low 50s by next Saturday. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: High confidence for snow and much cooler conditions tonight and tomorrow, however there is still a chance for snow totals to increase as the low confidence solution shows totals more in line with the previous forecast. Confidence is also high in cold continuing through the early week. The second storm system remains at moderate confidence due to questions of moisture availability and areal coverage. Moderate confidence for ridging to follow the trough but details will likely depend on how the second shortwave develops. && .AVIATION...A storm system is moving in across Northeastern Nevada early this Sunday morning. Chances for snow at TAF terminals through 00Z Monday are: KWMC 5%, KBAM 40%, KEKO 85%, KENV 70%, KELY 75% and for KTPH 2%. Reduced CIGs and VIS are likely in any snow showers. As the associated cold front passes winds will become Northwesterly with gusts of 15 to 25 mph in many locations. Showers taper off this afternoon with dry conditions at all terminals tonight into Monday. AMD NOT SKED continues for KTPH due to comms issues. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...96 AVIATION...96