Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
Issued by NWS Elko, NV
175 FXUS65 KLKN 030802 AAA AFDLKN Area Forecast Discussion...Updated National Weather Service Elko NV 1202 AM PST Wed Dec 3 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1202 AM PST Wed Dec 3 2025 * Snowfall mainly confined to mountains of Elko County this morning * Another very cold morning expected for Thursday * Light rain/snow showers are possible across Northern Nevada Friday through Sunday && .UPDATE... Issued at 1202 AM PST Wed Dec 3 2025 Current forecast is on track. No changes have been made to the current seven day forecast. && .DISCUSSION... (Today through Tuesday) WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW: A shift to the eastern border for precipitation chances occurs by this morning. The general pattern over the western CONUS, however, is being dictated by the well- entrenched Pacific High over the ocean that keeps northerly flow aloft over the region through the week. A weak shortwave will carry sufficient moisture into the northern portion of the Silver State on Thursday. Enough forcing associated with the system will create light rain and mountain snow activity starting late Thursday night. This slow moving feature will persist through the weekend. Current guidance shows best probabilities (~80%) for 24-hr snowfall reside in the Jarbidge Wilderness Area and elevations along the northern corridors of SR-225 and US-93. The bulk of this precipitation looks to fall on Saturday. Any precipitation that falls in the valleys will be rain shower activity as more zonal flow in the northern flank of the persistent high will raise afternoon high temperatures this weekend back into the 50s. Beyond the weekend the next organized trough and storm system is shaping up for early next week. FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS: Models continue to agree on a system bringing precipitation to the region Friday through Sunday. No wholesale change to grids is needed at this time. && .AVIATION... Intermittent MVFR and IFR conditions are possible through this afternoon for KWMC, KBAM, KEKO, KELY, KENV mainly associated with CIGs at or below 3K feet. A mix of light rain and snow shower activity is forecast at KENV early this morning. && .LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...99 AVIATION...99