Area Forecast Discussion
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233
FXUS64 KLUB 011736
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1236 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1235 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

 - Warmer and continued dry through next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

November was off to a cool start with noon temps 5-12 degrees lower
than this time yesterday. This was courtesy of a surface ridge still
expanding south from Kansas on breezy NNE winds. These winds are
slowly dialing lower as the high draws closer, so this evening is
looking quite cool especially once winds become light by sunset.
However, temps are unlikely to crater tonight for our usual
suspects as the ridge axis will be exiting the Caprock by midnight
ahead of steady SSW breezes. Farther east in the southern Rolling
Plains is where the strongest radiational cooling is favored with
light winds, so temps here were lowered 2-4 degrees from the NBM
for places like Spur, Guthrie and Aspermont. Lee troughing resumes
on Sunday under sharper anticyclonic NW flow, thus temps should
have little trouble jumping into the mid-70s on breezy SW winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

Forecast challenges for the week ahead are very few and far between
as we transition from upper ridging on Monday to zonal flow for the
remainder of the week. This pattern is a dry one that plays host to
a couple low-amplitude troughs with weak cold fronts - the first of
which reaches our area early Wednesday morning with a second slated
for Friday morning. Barring brief cooldowns with each of these
FROPAs, high temps each day are still expected to end well above
normal with Tuesday still looking the warmest when mid/upper 80s
pair with breezier SW winds.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1235 PM CDT Sat Nov 1 2025

VFR with occasionally breezy NNE winds tapering this afternoon,
then veering SSW overnight.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...93
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...93