Area Forecast Discussion
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FXUS64 KLUB 050538
AFDLUB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
1138 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1133 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

 - Possible freezing fog this morning, mainly over the far SE
   Panhandle.

 - Warmer and dry through the end of next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday)
Issued at 1133 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Skies will continue to clear for most of the area overnight,
although SW winds will slightly increase to near 10 mph which will
help to moderate lows and keep them generally in the mid-to-upper
20s. Freezing fog remains possible over the far SE Panhandle where
winds will be a bit lighter and moisture somewhat more abundant. Any
fog that develops there as a result will occur near sunrise and
should burn off thereafter. Westerly downsloping winds and further
clearing will bring about a rebound to temperatures this afternoon.
Both the upper and low level jet cores remains south of our area and
as such the far SW Panhandle will only see highs in the low 50s
closest to the core of the cold airmass. Otherwise, the rest of the
area will see highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Winds will diminish
in to the evening and veer to the northwest into the evening.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday night through next Thursday)
Issued at 1133 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Increased due westerly flow on Saturday should allow for
temperatures slightly warmer than NBM guidance, possible reaching
near 70 across southern and eastern portions of the area. A broad
upper trough centered over the Great Lakes will bring a surface cold
front trough late Saturday into Sunday. Winds will switch to
northerly and highs will around 10-15 degrees from Saturday. Warmer
and mostly clear/dry conditions will prevail next week, with Tuesday
through Thursday remaining the warmest expected days in a generally
westerly surface flow pattern. Well above average highs in the 70s
are possible.


&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1133 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

Winds will be light during the overnight hours and when combined
with recent snowfall in the southern Texas Panhandle, some visby
restrictions may develop around the KCDS terminal. However,
confidence is low in this activity making it into KCDS with most fog
most likely remaining north of the TAF site where a deeper snowpack
exists.

&&

.LUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...19
LONG TERM....19
AVIATION...01