Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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319
FXUS64 KLZK 110505 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1105 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1132 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

 - Gusty NW winds will be seen behind a cold front as it moves
   across the state today.

 - Near to above normal temperatures will be seen through Friday
   along with dry conditions.

 - A strong cold front will usher in much colder temperatures from
   Saturday to Sunday.

 - Cold air will linger for a few days before increasing by
   Tue/Wed next week.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1132 PM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Sfc pressure gradient has continued to increase across the area as
a strong sfc cyclone moves east toward the Great Lakes while
ridging remains across the SE US. This has provided an increase in
SW winds across the state late Tuesday into the overnight hours.
As the sfc low continues to track to the east a trailing cold
front will move across Arkansas from NW to SE today. In its wake,
winds will switch out of the NW and will increase to 15-20 mph
with gusts around 30 mph. The strongest winds associated with this
are expected across the northern half of the state during the
morning hours Wednesday.

This front will provide little in the way of cold air Wednesday
but will help temperatures fall to near freezing Wednesday night.
The mid-level flow aloft will remain out of the NW through the
end of the work week, but low level flow will be out of the SW.
This will provide warmer temperatures Thu-Fri. Changes will take
place this weekend, as another cold front will usher in a much
colder airmass to the state. The cold air may not make it into the
state until Saturday night.

Behind the front, sfc ridging will overspread the state by Sunday and
linger through Monday. But, this round of cold air isn`t expected
to stick around very long as sfc ridging shifts east and the H500
NW flow moves northeast away from the region. This will lead to
increasing temperatures through the middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1103 PM CST Wed Dec 10 2025

VFR conditions are expected to persist through the period. Mid to
high level clouds will continue to stream in from the NW but will
eventually decrease in coverage across the state. Winds overnight
are expected to remain light/variable but will increase out of the
S/SW Thursday morning to around 7-12 kts across the area with some
higher gusts possible.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     59  32  53  41 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         66  31  57  39 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       52  31  57  43 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    62  33  55  40 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  63  34  55  41 /   0   0   0   0
Monticello AR     65  34  56  43 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      64  33  58  42 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  53  30  55  40 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        60  33  52  40 /   0   0   0   0
Pine Bluff AR     64  32  56  40 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   63  33  59  39 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         61  31  53  37 /   0   0   0   0
Stuttgart AR      63  33  53  40 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...67
AVIATION...67