Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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098
FXUS64 KLZK 052336
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
536 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

 - A cold morning is expected across much of the state, with
   readings in the 20s for many areas.

 - Fairly calm weather conditions expected in the coming days.

 - Little to no precipitation in the forecast through the next 7
   days.


&&

.DISCUSSION...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 1250 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Thursday`s system continues to make progress well east of the area
with sfc ridging building over the area. While some clouds will
continue to stream over the area, very cold air will spill south
leading to lows in the 20s across much of the northern half of the
state. Some localized FG/FZFG could develop through sunrise across
some of the areas where clear sky conditions are seen and where
precip occurred on Thursday.

A slight warmup is expected across the state through Sunday before
a H500 trough moves through the W/NW mid-level flow aloft. At the
sfc, this will lead to a cold front moving across the state on
Sunday. Limited moisture will lead to practically no chance of
precipitation with the passage of this system. While it`ll be
pretty cold from Sunday night through Tuesday morning, this
cooldown will be pretty short-lived.

Sfc ridging will shift E/SE of the area by Tuesday with low level
S/SW flow bringing warmer temperatures back for the end of the
period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 530 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Expect a mixture of MVFR and VFR CIGS across all terminals to begin
the forecast period. CIGS will intermittently improve to VFR flight
category with a return to CIGS lowering to as low as IFR flight
category across the sites of KHOT and KADF early Saturday morning
just after midnight. A tad later into Saturday morning before
sunrise, VSBY is expected to lower to LIFR category at times across
the sites of KHOT, KADF, and KHRO which has been represented by
TEMPO groups. All sites will return to VFR flight category later
Saturday morning and prevail through the afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     31  53  37  55 /   0   0   0   0
Camden AR         30  55  40  58 /   0   0  10  10
Harrison AR       31  54  37  47 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    31  54  37  58 /   0   0  10  10
Little Rock   AR  32  53  39  57 /   0   0   0  10
Monticello AR     33  55  43  59 /   0   0  10  30
Mount Ida AR      31  56  38  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  31  53  36  50 /   0   0   0   0
Newport AR        31  51  37  55 /   0   0   0  10
Pine Bluff AR     31  53  38  58 /   0   0  10  20
Russellville AR   32  55  38  57 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         29  53  36  57 /   0   0   0  10
Stuttgart AR      31  51  39  57 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

DISCUSSION...99
AVIATION...74