Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR
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733 FXUS64 KLZK 031116 AAA AFDLZK Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Little Rock AR 516 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1227 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 - A brief warmup today before a cold front moves through by tonight. - Cooler temperatures expected on Thursday with precip most likely across southern Arkansas through Thursday night. - There is a low chance for a brief period of winter weather Thursday. - Dry conditions and slightly warmer temperatures expected for the weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1227 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Early morning satellite imagery shows an extensive area of stratus across much of the SE US, including much of eastern Arkansas. This will have an impact on overnight lows in these areas, while clear sky conditions elsewhere will allow temperatures to be quite cool. Additionally, some FG development may be possible across portions of western and northern Arkansas. With temperatures below freezing in these areas, any fog would be freezing fog. Will monitor trends through daybreak in case a dense fog advisory is necessary. By this afternoon, temperatures are expected to be a bit warmer as sfc ridging shifts east of the area and southerly winds are briefly noted. This will be short lived as a cold front is expected to move through from later this evening through tonight which will usher in much cooler temperatures for Thursday. In the mid-level flow aloft a weak H500 disturbance will move from the SW US Wednesday evening to just east of Arkansas early Tuesday morning. A corresponding sfc low will move east along the Gulf coast with precip spreading north into Arkansas. Precip is most likely across southern AR Thursday into Thursday night. There remains a limited threat for a brief period of freezing rain or light sleet along the northern edge of the precip. Mostly dry conditions are expected through the end of the period with slightly warmer temperatures into early next weekend. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 513 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025 Low cloud cover remains in place across eastern Arkansas this morning and is providing some MVFR cigs to the area. Some localized FG or freezing FG has developed this morning, but it has remained limited and has largely avoided area terminals. Will see improvement to VFR for much of the day and evening hours before conditions worsen tonight through 04/12z. Light winds expected today, mainly out of the S/SE. A cold front will push through tonight bringing winds out of the N/NE. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Batesville AR 46 29 40 25 / 0 0 0 30 Camden AR 52 36 44 32 / 0 40 30 50 Harrison AR 49 26 38 26 / 0 0 0 20 Hot Springs AR 49 33 42 29 / 0 10 20 40 Little Rock AR 48 34 40 30 / 0 10 10 40 Monticello AR 51 37 45 34 / 0 50 40 60 Mount Ida AR 52 33 43 28 / 0 10 10 30 Mountain Home AR 47 26 38 24 / 0 0 0 20 Newport AR 44 31 38 27 / 0 0 0 30 Pine Bluff AR 49 34 42 31 / 0 20 30 50 Russellville AR 50 33 43 29 / 0 0 10 30 Searcy AR 46 30 40 27 / 0 10 10 30 Stuttgart AR 46 34 40 30 / 0 10 20 40 && .LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ DISCUSSION...67 AVIATION...67