159
FXUS64 KLZK 060822
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
222 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

...New KEY MESSAGES, DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

 + Areas of fog are expected to persist this morning across a
   large potion of the state.

 + A series of cold fronts will move across the state over the
   next several days with temperatures flip flopping a bit.

 + Little if any precipitation if expected over the next seven
   days.

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 AM CST Sat Dec 6 2025

Not many value added changes will be forth coming this morning as
the overall forecast looks on track, at least according to the
latest guidance. Current GOES-19 imagery continues to show a decent
amount of high level moisture moving across the state but also some
clearing now getting into far NW Arkansas.

An expanding area of low clouds and fog is developing across a good
part of the state and while visibilities remain above criteria
currently, some guidance continues to indicate parts of the forecast
areas may see them drop more by morning. Latest observations
indicated patchy fog at many locations and it is expected to persist
through early morning.

Synoptic scale pattern this morning features broad H5 troughing over
the majority of the CONUS. A weak trough embedded in the overall
flow will move through this morning scouring out the low level
moisture, at least temporarily with some clearing expected. The
break in widespread clouds will be temporary as clouds return
tonight in advance of an approaching front. The front will have
virtually no low level moisture to work with and will pass largely
unnoticed on Sunday except for a wind shift back to the NW as
the main trough axis passes to our NE.

Another dry front will be moving through Wednesday with the upper
pattern becoming highly amplified by the end of the week. Pattern
will be characterized by pronounced ridging over the SW and deep
troughing over the remainder of the CONUS. Another dry boundary will
bring a reinforcing shot of cool air to the area next weekend with
Canadian high pressure moving in to close out the forecast period.
While dry conditions are expected, temperatures will fluctuate up
and down with the aforementioned series of boundaries moving
through.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1158 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Fog and low ceilings will continue to develop through the night as
cirrus clouds move out. MVFR clouds are already starting to form
in some spots with IFR conditions likely in these areas. All sites
will return to VFR conditions later Saturday morning and prevail
through the remainder of the period Light and variable winds will
prevail tonight before becoming more SE during the day Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     51  37  53  28 /   0   0   0  10
Camden AR         55  39  57  33 /   0  10  10  10
Harrison AR       54  37  46  24 /   0   0   0   0
Hot Springs AR    52  38  56  31 /   0   0  10  10
Little Rock   AR  51  39  56  33 /   0   0  10  10
Monticello AR     55  42  58  36 /   0   0  20  10
Mount Ida AR      55  38  56  29 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  52  36  48  24 /   0  10   0   0
Newport AR        49  38  53  29 /   0   0  10  10
Pine Bluff AR     52  38  56  33 /   0   0  10  10
Russellville AR   53  37  56  30 /   0   0   0   0
Searcy AR         51  35  56  30 /   0   0  10  10
Stuttgart AR      50  39  55  32 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...56
LONG TERM....56
AVIATION...56