867
FXUS64 KMAF 012304
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
604 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 604 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

- Above normal temperatures and dry weather conditions will
  continue across the region through next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Thursday night)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

VIS/IR satellite imagery thearly this afternoon again shows another
largely mostly clear to clear sky day. Dew point temperatures remain
in the mid 40s to mid 50s F, so while highs rise into the upper 80s
to mid 90s F, lower 80s F higher elevations, conditions will
continue to feel dry. Tonight with these dew point temperatures,
mostly clear skies, and light winds, lows again drop into the mid
50s higher elevations and usual cooler spots of northern Lea County
into northwest Permian Basin, with 60s F elsewhere. Light near
surface winds and a stable ridging pattern aloft mean little in the
way of change into tomorrow, with similar temperatures just a few
degrees warmer. Expect similar temperatures to tonight for tomorrow
night, albeit also a few degrees warmer owing to warmer daytime high
temperatures. Continued warmer than average and dry weather is
expected in the near term, but at least isolated rain chances may
return to the area by the middle part of next week. Read the long
term discussion for more.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1232 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

Friday, West Texas and Southeast New Mexico will be under an upper
ridge extending from Baja del Sur northeast into the Central Plains.
This portends a rather dry forecast through next week, with rain
chances slim-to-none.  Highs Friday afternoon will start out the
extended ~ 7-9 F above climatology.

Meanwhile, a trough over NoCal will swing through the western CONUS,
arriving at the Four Corners by Saturday afternoon and nudging the
ridge to the southeastern CONUS.  Despite this, thicknesses and
temperatures will increase through Sunday, which should be the
warmest day of the extended as highs top out 10-12 F above normal.

Monday through Wednesday, temperatures will gradually decline an
average of a degree or two each day under southwest flow aloft.  By
Wednesday afternoon, highs should be only in the 80s most
locations...around 3-5 F above where they should be this time of
year.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 604 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2025

VFR conditions and light winds continue the next 24 hours.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               62  93  63  91 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                 61  91  61  89 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                   64  93  64  91 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            65  92  63  90 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass           61  82  61  80 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                    61  90  60  87 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                    54  84  52  82 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport     64  92  64  91 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                   64  91  64  90 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                     61  92  60  90 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...94
LONG TERM....99
AVIATION...10