460
FXUS64 KMAF 151108
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
608 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 604 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

- There is a low (10%) chance of isolated showers and
  thunderstorms west of the Pecos River this afternoon/evening.

- Temperatures remain above normal into next week. A Pacific cold
  front Friday will cool temperatures slightly this weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday afternoon)
Issued at 255 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

An upper-level ridge is currently hovering over the southern US. Our
region lies under the western periphery of the ridge as an upper
trough digs into California. Today, the ridge remains largely in
control of our weather pattern, bringing us warm and dry conditions.
Highs this afternoon are forecast to top out in the 80s, with 90s
along the Rio Grande. Winds will be a touch breezy out of the
southeast. Overnight, temperatures dip into the mid 50s to low 60s.

The upper-level trough swings from the Rockies into the northern
Great Plains Thursday, leading to the development of a lee trough.
Lift ahead of the associated front brings low (10-20%) rain chances
to southeast New Mexico down toward the Davis Mountains Thursday
afternoon through early evening. Dry and breezy conditions are
expected for the rest of the region. Highs Thursday warm into the
80s for most, though portions of the Trans Pecos and areas along the
Rio Grande see temperatures in the 90s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 255 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Late Thursday into Friday a large upper level churns over the
Rockies and into the Great Plains. A Pacific front is pushed across
West Texas and southeast New Mexico during that time and drier air
is gradually ushered across. Highs on Friday and Saturday remain
above normal for most with mid to upper 80s expected. Another front
will pass through the area late Friday and into Saturday. While
highs will not be significantly affected, lows on Sunday morning
will be some of the coolest the region has seen since this past
Spring. Lows settle into the 50s for most with upper 40s across
southeast New Mexico and the mountains. The cooler temperatures do
not hang around long and temperatures move back above normal
areawide by early next week. The extended forecast remains dry with
rain chances remaining below 5%.

-Stickney

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 604 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025

VFR conditions prevail. Southeasterly winds become a touch breezy
this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring               86  61  87  62 /   0   0   0  10
Carlsbad                 84  61  88  57 /   0   0  10  10
Dryden                   87  62  89  63 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton            87  63  89  63 /   0   0  10  10
Guadalupe Pass           76  59  78  55 /   0   0  10  10
Hobbs                    82  58  84  57 /   0   0  20  10
Marfa                    80  53  82  53 /   0   0  10  10
Midland Intl Airport     86  61  86  63 /   0   0   0  10
Odessa                   85  61  85  63 /   0   0  10  10
Wink                     86  62  88  60 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...95
LONG TERM....93
AVIATION...95