


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
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460 FXUS64 KMAF 151108 AFDMAF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 608 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 604 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 - There is a low (10%) chance of isolated showers and thunderstorms west of the Pecos River this afternoon/evening. - Temperatures remain above normal into next week. A Pacific cold front Friday will cool temperatures slightly this weekend. && .SHORT TERM... (Today through Thursday afternoon) Issued at 255 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 An upper-level ridge is currently hovering over the southern US. Our region lies under the western periphery of the ridge as an upper trough digs into California. Today, the ridge remains largely in control of our weather pattern, bringing us warm and dry conditions. Highs this afternoon are forecast to top out in the 80s, with 90s along the Rio Grande. Winds will be a touch breezy out of the southeast. Overnight, temperatures dip into the mid 50s to low 60s. The upper-level trough swings from the Rockies into the northern Great Plains Thursday, leading to the development of a lee trough. Lift ahead of the associated front brings low (10-20%) rain chances to southeast New Mexico down toward the Davis Mountains Thursday afternoon through early evening. Dry and breezy conditions are expected for the rest of the region. Highs Thursday warm into the 80s for most, though portions of the Trans Pecos and areas along the Rio Grande see temperatures in the 90s. && .LONG TERM... (Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 255 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 Late Thursday into Friday a large upper level churns over the Rockies and into the Great Plains. A Pacific front is pushed across West Texas and southeast New Mexico during that time and drier air is gradually ushered across. Highs on Friday and Saturday remain above normal for most with mid to upper 80s expected. Another front will pass through the area late Friday and into Saturday. While highs will not be significantly affected, lows on Sunday morning will be some of the coolest the region has seen since this past Spring. Lows settle into the 50s for most with upper 40s across southeast New Mexico and the mountains. The cooler temperatures do not hang around long and temperatures move back above normal areawide by early next week. The extended forecast remains dry with rain chances remaining below 5%. -Stickney && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 604 AM CDT Wed Oct 15 2025 VFR conditions prevail. Southeasterly winds become a touch breezy this afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 86 61 87 62 / 0 0 0 10 Carlsbad 84 61 88 57 / 0 0 10 10 Dryden 87 62 89 63 / 0 0 0 0 Fort Stockton 87 63 89 63 / 0 0 10 10 Guadalupe Pass 76 59 78 55 / 0 0 10 10 Hobbs 82 58 84 57 / 0 0 20 10 Marfa 80 53 82 53 / 0 0 10 10 Midland Intl Airport 86 61 86 63 / 0 0 0 10 Odessa 85 61 85 63 / 0 0 10 10 Wink 86 62 88 60 / 0 0 10 10 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...95 LONG TERM....93 AVIATION...95