452
FXUS62 KMFL 101816
AFDMFL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Miami FL
116 PM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

...New SHORT TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1250 PM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

  - The coldest temperatures of the season so far will occur
    tonight into Tuesday morning as a strong cold front has
    passed through the area.

  - Strong northwest winds will result in significant wind chill
    values Tuesday morning, especially around the Lake region.

  - Hazardous marine and beach conditions will continue through
    Tuesday night into Wednesday morning due to strong north
    northwesterly winds as well as building seas.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1250 PM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

The strong cold front has now pushed to the southeast into the
Atlantic and strong high pressure has started to build in from
the northwest bringing in a much drier and cooler air mass to the
region. Winds have been steadily increasing out of the northwest
and they will remain gusty through tonight and into Tuesday
allowing for strong cold air advection to continue to take place
during this time frame.

Model guidance remain in consensus in having the coldest period of
the cold weather on Tuesday morning, with lows dropping into the
upper 30s to low 40s around the Lake region, and mid-upper 40s
elsewhere. Locations right along the coast may remain close to 50.
In terms of wind chill values, guidance has been continuing to
trend colder due to winds remaining rather strong overnight. The
latest forecast still looks on track with wind chill values
hovering near 30-32 degrees around the Lake region, with mid 30s
to around 40 elsewhere.

A Cold Weather Advisory will be in effect for Glades, Hendry,
Interior Palm Beach, and Interior Collier Counties from 4am to
9 am Tuesday morning for wind chill values of 35 degrees or less
during this time frame. Wind chill values like those can lead to
hypothermia with prolonged exposure. Use caution while traveling
outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Keep pets
indoors as much as possible. Make frequent checks on older family,
friends, and neighbors. Ensure portable heaters are used
correctly. Do not use generators or grills inside.

With the strong cold air advection continuing, high temperatures
on Tuesday will remain chilly as they will only rise into the
lower 60s across the Lake Okeechobee region and Southwest Florida.
The rest of the region will see high temperatures rise into the
mid to upper 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 206 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

Not much changes for the long term forecast philosophy with the air
mass across the state gradually moderating from Wednesday and
through the end of the work week as the west Atlantic ridge
returns. The last portion of the cold spell will happen Wednesday
morning with lows in the 40s inland, and high 50s to around 60
near the coasts.

Decreasing winds veer to a more easterly flow while warming up the
air mass. Afternoon highs climb back into the upper 70s to low 80s
by Friday and through the upcoming weekend.

POPs remain basically in single digits every day of the forecast
period with benign weather prevailing.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1250 PM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

VFR conditions will prevail throughout the forecast period. NW
winds will continue through Tuesday morning and will range
between 10 to 15 kts during this time frame. Gusts of 20 to 25 kts
will also be possible through Tuesday morning.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 206 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

Hazardous marine conditions will develop today in the wake of the
frontal passage starting this morning and continuing through the
middle of the work week. All of South Florida`s coastal waters will
be affected by the stronger winds, including the Lake.

A Small Craft Advisory has been issued with latest model estimates
showing possible wave heights in the 10 to 14 feet range in the
Atlantic waters on Tuesday, along with wind speeds in the 25-30 kt
range with higher gusts. Conditions should begin subsiding
Wednesday morning starting on the Gulf waters and then the
Atlantic later that afternoon.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 206 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

A high risk of rip currents is in effect for all South Florida
beaches today behind a cold front passage.

A high surf advisory will also be in effect for all Palm Beach
county beaches starting early morning Tuesday, and might be expanded
into Broward and Miami-Dade depending on latest model trends.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 206 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

Northerly flow will result in very dry conditions and increasing
winds expected Tuesday afternoon with RH/wind speed values
approaching critical levels, mainly over the western half of South
Florida. The situation will continue to be closely monitored in case
further action becomes necessary.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Miami            48  69  60  76 /   0   0   0   0
West Kendall     47  68  55  77 /   0   0   0   0
Opa-Locka        48  69  59  77 /   0   0   0   0
Homestead        49  68  59  76 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Lauderdale  47  68  61  75 /   0   0   0   0
N Ft Lauderdale  47  68  61  75 /   0   0   0   0
Pembroke Pines   48  70  60  79 /   0   0   0   0
West Palm Beach  45  67  60  75 /   0   0   0   0
Boca Raton       46  69  60  77 /   0   0   0   0
Naples           45  64  50  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MFL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Cold Weather Advisory from 4 AM to 9 AM EST Tuesday for FLZ063-
     066-067-070.

     High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for FLZ069.

     High Rip Current Risk from 7 PM EST this evening through
     Thursday evening for FLZ168-172-173.

     High Surf Advisory from 1 AM to 7 PM EST Tuesday for FLZ168.

AM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Tuesday for AMZ610.

     Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM EST Wednesday for AMZ630-650-651-
     670-671.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 AM EST Wednesday for GMZ656-657-676.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...CWC
LONG TERM....17
AVIATION...CWC