437
FXUS66 KMTR 300904
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
104 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 103 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025

 - Another day of persistent fog and stratus in the North Bay
  (Today/Sunday).

 - Gusty offshore winds across the North Bay interior Wednesday.

 - Hazardous beach conditions through Wednesday.

 - King Tides arrive December 2 - 7.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
Issued at 103 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025
(Today and tonight)

High clouds make life for the meteorologist a little difficult this
morning, as it blocks the low level clouds that are being
observed in the North Bay, East Bay, and San Francisco region. The
question for today, is, you guessed it, much like yesterday and
pertains to if or when will the clouds clear out around there.
Guidance favors perhaps a few hours earlier today, perhaps the
early afternoon hours instead of the mid to late. Given that,
opted to go with slightly higher temperature forecast than
yesterday`s observed temperatures for the N Bay and surrounding
areas. Highs will still be below normal there by about 0 to 10
degrees, while the rest of the region is closer to normal for this
time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM...
Issued at 103 AM PST Sun Nov 30 2025
(Monday through Saturday)

The forecast remains on track for the extended period, with the
first feature being stratus clearing out for the North and East Bays
Monday and Tuesday afternoon. An inside slider remains on tap for
midweek, which will bring breezy conditions to the interior North
Bay hills Wednesday morning. Conditions will dry out as well in
terms of minRH values; however, no major fire weather concerns are
expected. Beyond that, the slider looks to dig south, which should
allow for upper level ridging to build towards us. Dry weather
remains in the forecast with near seasonal to slightly warmer than
normal high temperatures expected for the end of the week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 922 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025

Local clouds are beginning to impact the N and E Bay again (repeat
of the last few nights), but widespread high clouds are filtering
over the region making it hard to see the low clouds. Regardless,
sfc obs show cigs with some fog, but not dense fog. Will stay the
course and continue to bring IFR to LIFR conditions through
tomorrow AM with some afternoon clearing.

Vicinity of SFO...SCT have quickly turned to BKN as of 06Z taf.
Will keep CIGS in through Sunday morning. Winds NE.

SFO Bridge Approach...Filling in of CIGS will be 1-3 hrs
later...closer to 08-09Z.

Monterey Bay Terminals...Patchy SCT around MRY. Will still keep a
20-30% chc for CIGS at MRY, but higher conf for SNS late tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
(Tonight through next Friday)
Issued at 827 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025

High pressure off the Oregon coast will maintain gentle to
moderate northerly breezes through early Sunday. Northerly flow
will increase through out the day on Sunday. Winds will be locally
stronger over the outer waters and coastal jets. Wave heights and
swell energy increase early next week.

&&

.BEACHES...
Issued at 828 PM PST Sat Nov 29 2025

Hazardous beach conditions will continue into next week with a
very energetic surf zone.

A beach hazards statement remains in effect for the coastline
from Sonoma County to Monterey County through 10 PM PST Sunday
evening. Sneaker waves can unexpectedly run significantly farther
up the beach than normal, including over rocks and jetties. Rip
currents are typically more frequent and stronger in the vicinity
of jetties, inlets, and piers.

A set of forerunner waves arrive early next week renewing the
danger for sneaker waves.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...Beach Hazards Statement through this evening for CAZ006-505-509-
     529-530.

PZ...Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 9 PM PST this
     evening for Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM this afternoon to 9 PM PST this
     evening for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras Blancas 0-10 nm.

     Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PST Monday for Pt Arena to Pt
     Reyes 10-60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory from 9 AM this morning to 3 AM PST Monday
     for Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KR
LONG TERM....KR
AVIATION...MM
MARINE...MM

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