433
FXUS64 KOHX 101713
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1213 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1211 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

- No hazardous weather is expected in the forecast period.

- Temperatures warm up into the work week, once again reaching
  above- normal values.

- Despite the onset of another prolonged dry stretch, afternoon RH
  values should remain sufficiently high to prevent any fire
  weather concerns.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Saturday)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Clouds associated with a low pressure system and attending cold
front are beginning to inch closer to the mid-state this afternoon.
We do not expect any precipitation from the cold front, as it should
stall out north of our area. However, some clouds can be expected
into tomorrow morning. Patchy fog could be a hazard for some parts
of middle Tennessee on the weekend, appearing after midnight and
lasting into the early morning. Temperatures through the weekend
will be closer to what we expect for this time of year: chilly
nights and days where you need a jacket in the morning and evening
but sweat in the afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Friday)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Into the work week, a high pressure system is forecasted to be the
dominant feature, leading to the increase in our temperatures. They
will level off in the low 80s for highs by mid-week, with morning
lows in the low to mid 50s. High pressure also means no
precipitation in the forecast for the period, so things will remain
dry. This pattern looks to extend into late October, with below-
normal rainfall and above-normal temperatures forecasted for middle
Tennessee by the CPC. Despite the dry environment, minimum RH is
forecasted to stay around 50% during the day, so we are not
concerned with fire weather at this time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1211 PM CDT Fri Oct 10 2025

Quiet weather will continue through the TAF period with mainly VFR
conditions. There is a low chance (10-30%) for patchy fog between
9 and 12z mainly for areas outside of Nashville. Otherwise we will
see SCT to BKN clouds 050-100 through Saturday morning. Winds will
be light and variable under 5 knots.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      53  79  53  80 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    51  79  51  79 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     48  71  46  72 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       51  79  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     49  74  48  74 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      48  72  46  72 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   49  77  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   51  78  49  78 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        51  78  51  78 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Mueller