468
FXUS64 KOHX 141103
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
503 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 502 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

- Quiet weather through the weekend, with temperatures warming
  into the low 70s.

- Rain enters the forecast next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Saturday Night)
Issued at 954 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Clouds are moving across the area from the northwest this evening,
with many locations already in the 40s. Lows tonight will dip into
the upper 30s to mid 40s, so a bit warmer than what we saw last
night. Some patchy fog is possible once again tonight, mainly
confined to the valleys and low spots across the area. Friday will
be a mostly clear day, with some clouds sprinkled in. Highs will be
warmer still: in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 954 PM CST Thu Nov 13 2025

Conditions will remain dry and warm into the weekend thanks to a
ridge of high pressure. Highs will warm into the 70s for highs,
slightly above average for this time of year. A cold front will move
through Saturday night into Sunday, turning our winds northerly and
dropping temperatures on Sunday. Guidance has backed off on rain for
our Sunday, but there is still a slight chance of some showers
across middle Tennessee as it stands right now (20-30%). Guidance
has the rain coming in on Monday, with the chance for thunderstorms
as well. They`re having a hard time grasping this pattern shift
though, with the models disagreeing with each other at this time so
the details are unclear right now but something we will continue to
monitor. But, we can say that next week looks to be a wet one.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 502 AM CST Fri Nov 14 2025

VFR conditions prevail. Southerly to southwesterly winds will be
light at around to less than 10 knots with just passing high
clouds.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      75  55  78  57 /   0   0   0  20
Clarksville    75  57  77  53 /   0   0   0  20
Crossville     67  47  68  54 /   0   0   0  40
Columbia       75  53  76  58 /   0   0   0  10
Cookeville     69  50  71  55 /   0   0   0  40
Jamestown      67  50  68  54 /   0   0   0  50
Lawrenceburg   73  52  76  58 /   0   0   0  10
Murfreesboro   73  53  76  58 /   0   0   0  20
Waverly        72  55  75  55 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Clements