724
FXUS64 KOHX 031127
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
527 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 520 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

- Dense Fog Advisory for all of Middle TN until 10 am Monday.

- Dry most of the week. Gradual warmup with above normal
  temperatures by Wednesday.

- Next chance of rain/storms Friday afternoon/evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday Night)
Issued at 1032 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

All rains have finally come to an end this evening and over the last
hour, clouds completely cleared out of the western half of the area.
In their place, widespread dense fog has developed. Several places
are already at 1/4 mile visibility or worse. Across the eastern
half? A bit of a different story. Clouds have held firm and may even
be thickening a bit. Earlier, I issued a Dense Fog Advisory for the
whole area, but whether then eastern half will see it is yet to be
determined. One might say that as the upper low continues to pull
further east away from Middle TN, these clouds will start to
dissipate, but with the sun down and an inversion in place, they may
hold firm through the night. For now, will hold firm with the
advisory and if need be, adjust later tonight. As I mentioned in the
update a few hours ago, it`s worth mentioning again that many models
hold onto this dense fog through 9 or 10 am tomorrow morning. This
means many will encounter dense fog during the morning commute.
Please use caution.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Monday)
Issued at 1032 PM CST Sun Nov 2 2025

Once the fog clears out tomorrow morning, we`re in for several quiet
days in a row. Zonal flow aloft will allow temperatures to climb
into the upper 60s on Tuesday and low 70s through the rest of the
week.

Our next chance for rain is still progged to arrive on Friday. If
the GFS continues to have its way, forecast soundings are looking
better for at least a low-end severe threat Friday afternoon into
Friday evening. However, that`s only one model solution. Euro
extended guidance is much less impressive. Due to lack of agreement,
I`ll continue to just say, enjoy the week of above average
temperatures and beautiful weather while keeping an eye on the
Friday forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 520 AM CST Mon Nov 3 2025

Dense fog resulting in LIFR vis will impact BNA, MQY, and CKV
through 15Z. Low stratus deck between 005-010 over CSV and SRB
will gradually lift later this morning. VFR conditions return at
all terminals by 17Z with mostly clear skies through the remainder
of the period. Westerly winds between 5 to 7 kts will prevail
this afternoon, becoming light and variable overnight.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      63  40  70  47 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    63  38  69  48 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     56  35  63  43 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       63  37  70  44 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     56  36  65  45 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      56  36  64  45 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   62  37  69  43 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   62  36  69  45 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        61  38  67  47 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for TNZ005>011-
023>034-056>066-075-077>080-093>095.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Unger
LONG TERM....Unger
AVIATION.....Baggett