091
FXUS64 KOHX 081700
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1100 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

- Warmer and breezy Tuesday and Wednesday.

- Much colder air arriving by the weekend with lows possibly in
  the teens and highs mostly in the 30s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Rest of today through Tuesday)
Issued at 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

A cloudy Monday is in store for middle Tennessee, with clouds
thinning a bit into the evening but not totally going away.
Temperatures will barely rise out of the 30s in most area today,
with some along the plateau and the KY border never quite making it.
Lows tonight will dip back into the 20s, with the Cumberland plateau
getting as low as the low 20s. With another night of sub-freezing
lows, freezing fog is on our radar as a possibility tonight if
clouds clear in some areas.

High pressure will build in through Wednesday morning, driving
temperatures into the 50s for highs. The good news is the sun will
be visible in the sky during the afternoon on Tuesday as clouds
briefly clear.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday Night through next Monday)
Issued at 1100 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

A trough is expected to dig south and bring more rain chances to
Middle Tennessee. Precipitation amounts with this system have
totally dried out in the guidance, and we are not expecting any QPF
in the mid-state. One notable thing is an arctic air mass from close
to the arctic circle will be behind another cold front that will
move through at the end of the week. We`re still refining exacts
with how cold we will get, with guidance backing off on the extreme
cold temperatures as of late. So while it may not get into the teens
for lows, it will still be very cold at night, with expected lows in
the low 20s.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 545 AM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Fairly widespread IFR cigs are still in place across Middle
Tennessee this morning despite a couple MVFR obs. I`ve maintained
IFR cigs at BNA, MQY, and CKV through much of the morning along
with a mention of -DZ which may briefly reduce vis and wet the
runways. There may even be a few wet snow flakes mixed in. Flight
categories should improve through the day at these airfields. SRB
and CSV will have slower improvement as clouds/low cigs persist
through the afternoon and evening. Winds today prevail NW at 5-10
kts, becoming SSW tomorrow morning.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      41  28  51  40 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    40  26  50  41 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     39  22  46  34 /  20   0   0   0
Columbia       42  26  50  39 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     39  24  46  36 /  30   0   0   0
Jamestown      38  23  46  36 /  30   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   41  25  49  37 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   41  25  49  38 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        41  27  48  39 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Holley
LONG TERM....Holley
AVIATION.....Sizemore