Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Graphics & Text | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS64 KOHX 030445
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
1145 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015

.AVIATION UPDATE...
06Z TAFS...VFR THROUGH THE NEXT 24 HOURS UNDER HIGH PRESSURE. THE
ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE POSSIBLE MVFR BR AT CSV AROUND DAYBREAK.
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VRBL TONIGHT...THEN MAINLY WEST AROUND
08KT AFTER 15Z.

13

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 842 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

UPDATE...
TWEAKED HRLY TEMP...DEWPOINT...SKY CONDITION...AND WIND SPEED/DIRECTION
GRIDS. CURRENT TEMPS IN LINE WITH FORECASTED OVERNIGHT LOW VALUES.
REMAINDER OF FORECAST AND BELOW FORECAST REASONING CONTINUES TO
BE ON TRACK.

31

PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 540 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

UPDATE...
HAVE UPDATED THE SUITE OF FORECAST PRODUCTS TO REMOVE THE LATE
AFTERNOON ZONE GROUPING IN THE ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT. ALSO
TWEAKED HRLY TEMP...DEWPOINT...SKY CONDITION...AND WIND SPEED/
DIRECTION GRIDS. OTHERWISE...REMAINDER OF FORECAST AND BELOW
FORECAST REASONING REMAINS ON TRACK.

PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 212 PM CDT SUN AUG 2 2015/

DISCUSSION...SURFACE RIDGE HAS FINALLY EDGED INTO NW MIDDLE
TENNESSEE THIS AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND DEWPOINTS
RANGING FROM THE MID 50`S TO LOWER 60`S. LOOK FOR THE RIDGE TO
SLIP SOUTH OF THE MID STATE OVERNIGHT, ALLOWING FOR SLIGHTLY
WARMER TEMPERATURES STARTING ON MONDAY AND INCREASING DEW POINTS.
BY TUESDAY EVENING, A SOUTHWARD-MOVING QUASI-STATIONARY FRONT WILL
BEGIN TO EDGE INTO MIDDLE TENNESSEE, WITH SCATTERED POP`S AREA-
WIDE BY WEDNESDAY. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF SHOW A SHORTWAVE PASSAGE
ON THURSDAY AND SURFACE FROPA ON FRIDAY, WITH POP`S THEN
DIMINISHING AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND. MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES
ARE IN STORE STARTING ON FRIDAY AND LASTING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AT THIS TIME, THERE ARE NO CONCERNS ABOUT HIGH HEAT INDICES DURING
THE NEXT 7 DAYS AND LITTLE CHANCE OF WIDESPREAD SEVERE STORMS.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.