Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 221617
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1117 AM CDT Thu Jun 22 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR MORNING DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

Per current regional radar and consensus short range model
trends, updated suite of forecast products to mention numerous
shwrs/iso tstms across wrn half of mid state thru mid afternoon
hrs, with a transition to sct shwrs/iso tstms across this region
mid afternoon hrs onward. Mainly numerous shwrs/iso tstms possible
mid afternoon hrs for locations to this areas east. Tweaked hrly
temp, dewpoint, and wind speed/direction grids. With some breaks
in rainfall coverage possible this afternoon, will continue with
forecasted high values. Will update suite of forecast products
once again after the morning hrs end to remove morning wording
from the zone forecast product. Remainder of forecast continues
to be on track.

&&

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF DISCUSSION.

BNA/MQY/CKV/CSV...Surface pressure gradient is tightening up this
morning as Tropical Storm Cindy has just made landfall along the
Gulf Coast. Light showers have been inching northward across
Middle Tennessee most of the night, and will likely affect all
terminals by 14Z. Expect ceilings to drop to at least MVFR once
the rain settles in and the low levels become saturated. HRRR
shows the activity scattering out during the afternoon, and the
models suggest the evening & overnight period will be even drier
with a few hours of VFR ceilings, although expect low clouds to
re-develop overnight despite the paucity of convection.


&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......31
AVIATION........08



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