Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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FXUS64 KOHX 270541
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1141 PM CST Sun Feb 26 2017

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

One minor change to tonight`s forecast surrounding the latest wave
that will bring some showers into the mid-state late tonight. I
don`t think we`re going to get as cool as originally thought, so
I`ve bumped overnight lows just a bit due to the cloud cover.

Radar is showing some returns over West TN, but with dew points as
low as they are, I highly doubt any of that is reaching the
ground. But, the atmosphere will saturate slowly through the rest
of the night and by morning, a second wave will bring showers into
Middle Tennessee. This won`t be a washout by any stretch as these
showers should leave the mid-state by early afternoon and we
should be dry until late tomorrow night when another wave will
bring more precipitation into the area.

Forecast updates will be out shortly.

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

VFR conditions still look to continue, with periods of MVFR vis
and possibly MVFR cigs later this morning. Radar is showing some
echoes moving into the mid state, but dry air near the surface
will prevent showers from reaching the ground early on. Still
looking like showers may begin at KCKV around 09Z, KBNA around
11Z, and at KCSV around 15Z. Models have backed off on MVFR cigs,
and further upstream, not many sites are showing MVFR cigs just
yet. So kept cigs VFR for now. Models also are not showing MVFR
vis, but would not be surprised if some of the shower activity
brought down vis during some heavier showers should they occur.
Put in MVFR vis for KBNA and KCKV during the morning hours when
models place the best chances for showers near the terminals.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION......Unger
AVIATION........Barnwell



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