113
FXUS64 KOUN 031729
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1129 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1224 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

 - A cold front Wednesday will bring colder weather into Thursday.
   Breezy post-frontal winds may give way to wind chills between
   single digit to 20s Thursday morning.

 - Freezing drizzle Wednesday evening into Thursday morning may
   lead to slick roadways, especially elevated surfaces such as
   bridges, during the Thursday morning commute.

 - Wintry precipitation chances continue Thursday with the
   greatest chances across portions of western Oklahoma and into
   adjacent portions of western north Texas.

&&18

.NEAR TERM...
(Through Wednesday)
Issued at 1224 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Cold front will continue to move in from the north today. Morning
lows will be in the 20s along/behind the boundary, and into the
30s ahead of the boundary. High temperatures behind the front
won`t be too much different that yesterday`s highs, as the cold
air advection will lag behind the frontal boundary. Low-level
moisture will increase behind the front with increasing low clouds
and a potential for drizzle as early as the afternoon hours from
north to south with the passing front.

Bunker

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday night through Friday night)
Issued at 1224 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Drizzle will continue Wednesday night across the area, but where
temperatures fall below freezing, drizzle may turn to freezing
drizzle. Even though ground temperatures will remain above
freezing, elevated surfaces may get a glaze of ice. Freezing
drizzle is expected to shift from north to south, following the
cold air advection that will lag behind the aforementioned front.
Northerly winds are expected to continue overnight Wednesday into
Thursday, so wind chills in the low teens to single digits will be
possible.

The main mid-level system will move across the southern Rockies
on Thursday. There are signals in the deterministic models that
this shortwave may get sheared off, with the potential for less
ascent. There is, however, still the potential for enough low-
level moisture within the dendritic growth zone to get a mix snow,
sleet, and freezing rain. Ensemble guidance continues to show a
medium (30-60%) chance of at least .1 inches of snowfall on
Thursday, primarily across the western third of the area. "Worst
case scenario" amounts of greater that 1 inch of snowfall within
the same area run about a 10% chance. With temperatures in the
teens to 20s Thursday morning, any freezing drizzle will have the
chance to accrete quickly, especially on elevated surfaces. Roads,
and especially bridges and overpasses, may be slick on the
Thursday morning commute. Wind chills Thursday morning are
expected to range from the single digits (north) to the lows 20s
(south).

Temperatures on Friday are expected to rebound back into the 50s,
as southerly winds return. With dry conditions expected, should
be a beautiful day.

Bunker

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Tuesday)
Issued at 1224 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Overall, the weekend temperatures will remain near average and
even getting to above average by early next week. Another Canadian
front will move through the area Saturday into Sunday, with not
much change to the overall temperatures. Dry conditions will
continue through early next week.

Bunker

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1129 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

Areas of light winter precipitation is expected Thursday morning,
although amounts will be relatively light in most areas.

Initially conditions will remain VFR this afternoon with high
clouds across the area. A cold front moving through the area has
shifted winds to northerly across northern and western Oklahoma,
and the winds will become northerly elsewhere this afternoon as
this front continues to move southeast.

Low-level moisture increases tonight with MVFR ceilings developing.
Winter precipitation will also develop, and while measurable
precipitation is not expected to be widespread, there is at least
some potential to affect airport operations in the morning.
Precipitation type is expected to generally be light snow in
northern Oklahoma, snow and/or sleet central and much of western
Oklahoma, rain and/or sleet in western north Texas, and primarily
rain in southeastern Oklahoma.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  48  28  33  24 /   0  20  30   0
Hobart OK         50  28  36  22 /   0  30  30   0
Wichita Falls TX  56  33  40  27 /   0  20  20   0
Gage OK           46  24  37  21 /   0  30  30   0
Ponca City OK     46  24  35  22 /   0  10  20   0
Durant OK         58  36  41  30 /   0   0  20  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...13
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM....13
AVIATION...26