088
FXUS64 KOUN 090545
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
1145 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

...New NEAR TERM, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

 - Above average temperatures through Friday.

 - Cooler this weekend.

 - No chance for precipitation through at least the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

There is a low chance for some patchy fog to once again develop
across parts of OK towards sunrise Tuesday. Confidence is low enough
that do not have mention in the forecast but will need to monitor
obs into early Tuesday.

After a cool start (lows mid 20s to mid 30s) to the day, Tuesday is
expected to be a fairly decent day with mostly sunny skies and
warmer temperatures. Models show southwesterly winds across the area
Tuesday. These winds along with mostly sunny skies and downslope
flow will lead to unseasonably warm temperatures with highs in the
60s across most of the area although some locations in western north
TX could actually climb into the low 70s. The forecast highs are 10-
15 degrees F above average for this time of year.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Models show NW flow aloft into late this week with a shortwave
moving across the northern Plains into the Ohio Valley later Tuesday
into Wednesday. This system will push a cool front across the fa
Tuesday night into Wednesday. Breezy/gusty northerly winds are
expected behind the front Tuesday night into at least Wednesday
morning. Cooler air will also move into the area behind the front
with highs in the mid 50s to low 60s Wednesday afternoon. Despite
these temperatures being cooler than Tuesday, the forecast highs are
still near or a few degrees above average for this time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Sfc winds are expected to shift back towards the south Wednesday
night with southwesterly winds on Thursday. The southwest winds
along with mostly sunny skies will lead to warmer, above average
temperatures once again Thursday afternoon with highs back in the
60s to low 70s.

NW flow is expected to continue through the weekend with another
cold front moving across the area Friday. Cooler temperatures are
expected Saturday with highs in the mid 40s in north central OK to
around 60 in western north TX. Models show a secondary cold front
moving across the area over the weekend bringing a re-enforcing shot
of cool air which will lead to even cooler temperatures Sunday with
highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s. These colder temperatures currently
look short lived with highs returning to the 50s maybe low 60s early
next week.

Despite several cold front passages, the forecast continues to be
dry into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1042 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

All terminals are most likely to remain in a VFR category through
most the entire forecast. However, there remains a low chance for
radiational fog developing between 11-15Z which could impact all
terminals except for KWWR & KSWO. Visibilities may slightly reduce
in the patchy fog bringing some of our terminals to an MVFR
category during that period. Confidence is very low but not
completely out that the fog could become more dense reducing
visibilities further in that time period. Surface winds will
increase out of the south after 18Z around 10 kts with gusts up to
20 kts by 21Z. Surface winds will gradually veer more south-
southwesterly after 01Z as a cold front will be near northwest
Oklahoma by the end of this forecast period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  33  62  42  56 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         29  64  37  59 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  33  68  40  62 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           30  68  37  56 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     29  62  40  55 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         33  63  42  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...68