725
FXUS64 KOUN 091122
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
522 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 510 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

 - Above average temperatures through Friday.

 - Cooler this weekend.

 - No chance for precipitation through at least the weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of tonight through Tuesday)
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

There is a low chance for some patchy fog to once again develop
across parts of OK towards sunrise Tuesday. Confidence is low enough
that do not have mention in the forecast but will need to monitor
obs into early Tuesday.

After a cool start (lows mid 20s to mid 30s) to the day, Tuesday is
expected to be a fairly decent day with mostly sunny skies and
warmer temperatures. Models show southwesterly winds across the area
Tuesday. These winds along with mostly sunny skies and downslope
flow will lead to unseasonably warm temperatures with highs in the
60s across most of the area although some locations in western north
TX could actually climb into the low 70s. The forecast highs are 10-
15 degrees F above average for this time of year.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday night through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Models show NW flow aloft into late this week with a shortwave
moving across the northern Plains into the Ohio Valley later Tuesday
into Wednesday. This system will push a cool front across the fa
Tuesday night into Wednesday. Breezy/gusty northerly winds are
expected behind the front Tuesday night into at least Wednesday
morning. Cooler air will also move into the area behind the front
with highs in the mid 50s to low 60s Wednesday afternoon. Despite
these temperatures being cooler than Tuesday, the forecast highs are
still near or a few degrees above average for this time of year.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through next Monday)
Issued at 1139 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Sfc winds are expected to shift back towards the south Wednesday
night with southwesterly winds on Thursday. The southwest winds
along with mostly sunny skies will lead to warmer, above average
temperatures once again Thursday afternoon with highs back in the
60s to low 70s.

NW flow is expected to continue through the weekend with another
cold front moving across the area Friday. Cooler temperatures are
expected Saturday with highs in the mid 40s in north central OK to
around 60 in western north TX. Models show a secondary cold front
moving across the area over the weekend bringing a re-enforcing shot
of cool air which will lead to even cooler temperatures Sunday with
highs in the mid 30s to mid 40s. These colder temperatures currently
look short lived with highs returning to the 50s maybe low 60s early
next week.

Despite several cold front passages, the forecast continues to be
dry into the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 510 AM CST Tue Dec 9 2025

Fog is ongoing this morning across far southeast Oklahoma with
low chances for it developing westward to DUA. Thus, any mention
of fog has been left out of this TAF issuance, but few low clouds
were maintained through the morning. There is also very low
chances for patchy fog to develop near CSM this morning and
amendments will need to be made if there is development. Otherwise
VFR conditions are expected through the period with low-end breezy
winds of 15 to 25 knots this afternoon and a cold front tonight
and through all sites by sunrise tomorrow. Breezy north winds will
accompany this frontal passage.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  62  42  56  37 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         64  37  59  35 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  68  40  62  36 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           68  37  56  36 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     62  40  55  34 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         63  42  62  36 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...25
SHORT TERM...25
LONG TERM....25
AVIATION...23