461
FXUS63 KPAH 092336
AFDPAH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
536 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Wind chills in the teens tonight and Monday night.

- A chance of flurries or light snow showers tonight into
  Monday, with best chances north and east, where a dusting on
  grassy surfaces is possible.

- A warmup begins by mid week with temperatures returning to
  the 60s, and 70s forecast by the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 100 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

The heart of the giant long wave cyclone makes mid Ohio River
Valley passage late tonight into Monday. As a result, it drags
down the coldest of the cold polar air mass, plummeting
temperatures into the hard freeze 20s the next 2 nights, as
wind chills bottom out in the teens. Highs Monday struggle to
attain 40 degrees, which is a good 20+ degrees below normal. The
strong PVA rotating across the area with the mean trof axis may
even squeeze out a few flurries or light snow showers while
this occurs, with best chances north and east closest to the
center of the cyclone; would not be shocked to see a dusting on
grassy surfaces, but no significant accumulations are expected.

Surface high pressure takes over thereafter, and by the mid
week, upper height rises correspond with a nice warmup that
ensues. We`ll see 60s return to the forecast over the back half
of the work week, with 70s reemerging by the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 536 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

Multiple areas of low VFR ceilings will rotate through the
region tonight and through Monday. KCGI and KPAH will be on the
southwest fringe of the cloud cover. An upper low will slide
south through the area with a chance of MVFR or lower snows and
MVFR or lower ceilings at KEVV and KOWB around 15Z. Most of the
area should be clear by sunset. Northwest winds will continue to
gust 15-25kts through the period.

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

$$

AVIATION...DRS