Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
Issued by NWS Reno, NV
629 FXUS65 KREV 250753 AFDREV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Reno NV 1153 PM PST Mon Nov 24 2025 .KEY MESSAGES... * Dry and mild weather with cold mornings will prevail through Thanksgiving. * Morning inversions will produce hazy skies and reductions in air quality for lower urban valleys through midweek. * It is increasingly likely that cooler, unsettled weather returns this weekend into early next week. && .DISCUSSION... A quiet weather pattern is in store through the Thanksgiving holiday as a ridge of high pressure intensifies across the region. This will result in continued dry conditions, periods of high clouds, light winds, valley inversions, and steadily warming temperatures. Strengthening valley inversions could result in reductions to air quality in lower valleys as wind and valley mixing remains light. Expect chilly mornings with lows in the 20s and 30s for most areas except for teens in colder Sierra valleys. Afternoons will be seasonably mild as highs reach into the upper 50s to low 60s for Sierra and W.Nevada valleys. Thanksgiving day looks to be the warmest day of the week with highs near the mid-60s, particularly for communities from Reno to the Carson Valley. A transition to a cooler, breezier pattern is likely by the weekend as an amplifying ridge over the eastern Pacific allows colder, slider-type shortwave troughs to drop in from the northwest and deepen over the western U.S. The main uncertainty is precipitation potential, as ensemble clusters remain split on the exact track of these shortwaves. A more inland (slider) path would favor cooler temperatures but lighter precipitation. Current trends lean drier, with only about a 20% chance of up to 0.25 of liquid equivalent in the Sierra over a 48-hour period, and overall 20-30% chances for rain and snow showers across the Sierra and western Nevada from Saturday through Sunday. Fuentes && .AVIATION... High pressure will maintain VFR conditions and light winds through the holiday. Patchy FZFG may induce IFR/LIFR conditions at KTRK this morning. Hazy skies from valley inversions may reduce slantwise visibilities through midweek. -Salas/Fuentes && .REV Watches/Warnings/Advisories... NV...None. CA...None. && $$