187
FXUS63 KSGF 030540
AFDSGF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
1140 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A Freezing Fog Advisory is in effect for the eastern Ozarks
  from 12 AM to 9 AM Wednesday. Visibilities may drop below 1
  mile at times and ice may form on untreated or elevated
  surfaces.

- Watching for a potential brief band of snow or freezing
  drizzle Wednesday evening into Wednesday night. Current
  probability for precipitation is around 15%, but that may
  need to be increased in future updates. Any precipitation
  would last less than 3-4 hours.

- Periods of warm-ups and cool-downs this week, but for the most
  part temperatures remain near or below normal (46-52 F is
  normal range for early December).

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Issued at 155 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Freezing fog is expected to form over the eastern Ozarks overnight
due to radiational cooling and sub-freezing temperatures.
Visibilities may drop below 1 mile at times and ice may form on
untreated or elevated surfaces. A Freezing Fog Advisory is in
effect for the eastern Ozarks from 12 AM to 9 AM Wednesday.

Quiet through Wednesday with lows tonight in the low to mid 20s
and highs tomorrow in the 40s.

A strong cold front shifts south through the area late Wednesday
into Wednesday night. Low level moisture and lift following the
front may lead to narrow band of light wintry precip Wednesday
evening into Wednesday night. Models vary in the amount and
placement of the moisture and lift, reducing confidence in
precip coverage, chances, and type. Right now the forecast
features a 15% chance for a light wintry mix (realistically
lasting no more than 3-4 hours in any location, if it occurs).
There could be some travel impacts as temperatures fall into the
mid teens to mid 20s overnight, but confidence is still too low
on other details to have a handle on details.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Issued at 155 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Models brought back a 15% chance of light freezing rain over far
south-central MO (southeast of West Plains) Thursday night, but
confidence that precip will impact the CWA is quite low and
will depend on the exact track of shortwave energy.

Models remain all over the place for the weekend, with some
showing some precip over the area. NBM PoPs remain less than 15%
given the lack of agreement or continuity.

Other than that, look for highs in the 30s Thursday and in the
40s Friday into early next week. Lows are forecast to be in the
20s, with the exception of Saturday night with lows around 30.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1140 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for SGF and JLN through
20Z with 5-10 kt winds out of the south. A fropa will occur from
north to south between 18-00Z, shifting winds sharply to
northerly at 5-10 kts. Behind the fropa, a narrow band of MVFR
to IFR cigs is expected to impact the TAF sites from north to
south, starting after 01Z.

There is currently a Freezing Fog Advisory in effect for Taney
County which includes BBG. However, current model guidance
suggests the fog should stay out of the TAF site. That said,
there is still a <30% chance that the fog does impact BBG
between 10-17Z. If fog occurs at BBG, visibilities could drop
below 1 mile with moisture freezing onto surfaces.


&&

.SGF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...None.
MO...Freezing Fog Advisory until 9 AM CST Wednesday for MOZ096>098-
     104>106.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Soria
LONG TERM...Soria
AVIATION...Price