Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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397 FXUS64 KSHV 090005 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 605 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 1231 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 - Clearing skies later today will make for some chilly readings across the Four-State area during the overnight hours. - The ground is still damp at least along and east of I-49 due the cloudiness during the day. Patchy fog and frost are in the forecast, light freezing fog will be possible in some locales. - The dry weather pattern continues all week with our next chance for shower activity slated to arrive next Monday. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1231 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Cold surface high pressure remains anchored in the Great Lake States, extending down the MS River Valley into OK/N TX. The NE winds are running out of gas north of I-20 with many calm observations as the CCA comes to an end over the Natural State. Skies are cloudy for S AR and all of our LA Parishes. Temperatures as expected, vary greatly from sun to clouds with low to mid 50s in sunny E TX and all other sites ranging in the 40s under the blanket. Our dew points remain in the 30s and all above freezing. However, once the sunsets, some evaporative cooling will allow for dew points to fall and our air temps along with during the overnight. So, for now we have in the forecast widespread patchy fog with areas of frost for the better part of the overnight, but clearly some freezing fog could develop during some part of night or early in the predawn as our winds will begin to stir out of the south with the coldest readings at that time. So caution during this timeframe may require an advisory for some areas early on Tuesday. Our soundings of late continue to dry from the top down and will erode the clouds late today once heating falls off. And we could end up with just frost and no fog which would be the best case for the morning commute. So keep abreast of possibility as we proceed through the overnight. The good news is that a nice warming trend will soon unfold as the southerly winds veer to SW with highs climbing through the 60s. Our coldest lows will occur tonight and likewise warm back to closer to average for early to mid December through the work week and weekend. Now the southerly winds will become a little more shifty beyond midweek with some swings around the dial eventually bringing back some CCA before the weekend as our highs will drop back closer to averages. The next chance for rainfall will arrive early next week ahead of another strong cold front with a fresh continental air mass at 1040mb plus moves into the midWest and powers down the MS River Valley. /24/ && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 542 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 For the 09/00Z TAF period, VFR conditions have returned to all but our eastern terminals where MVFR cigs continue to plague KELD/KMLU this evening. These cigs should gradually shift farther southeast through the overnight hours and allow for mostly SKC at all sites by around 09/06Z. Otherwise, will be monitoring for patchy fog as well but have only included this at KELD/KMLU for now given the low spread of dewpoint depressions due to cloud cover persisting throughout this afternoon. Elsewhere, any patchy fog appears less likely as drier air continues to overtake much of our airspace. Light and variable to near calm winds are expected overnight with a quick shift to S/SW on Tuesday as high pressure shifts eastward. Speeds will generally range between 6-12 kts on Tuesday with some slightly higher gusts possible across western terminals. /19/ && .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Issued at 1231 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025 Spotter activation is not expected at this time, but reports on any slick spots on elevated bridges or overpasses would be greatly appreciated during the overnight period coming. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 35 60 46 65 / 0 0 0 0 MLU 32 57 41 64 / 0 0 0 0 DEQ 29 58 37 61 / 0 0 0 0 TXK 33 60 44 62 / 0 0 0 0 ELD 29 56 41 62 / 0 0 0 0 TYR 35 62 46 65 / 0 0 0 0 GGG 32 61 44 65 / 0 0 0 0 LFK 34 63 44 69 / 0 0 0 0 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...24 AVIATION...19