397
FXUS64 KSHV 090005
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
605 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1231 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

 - Clearing skies later today will make for some chilly readings
   across the Four-State area during the overnight hours.

 - The ground is still damp at least along and east of I-49 due
   the cloudiness during the day. Patchy fog and frost are in the
   forecast, light freezing fog will be possible in some locales.

 - The dry weather pattern continues all week with our next
   chance for shower activity slated to arrive next Monday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1231 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Cold surface high pressure remains anchored in the Great Lake
States, extending down the MS River Valley into OK/N TX. The NE
winds are running out of gas north of I-20 with many calm
observations as the CCA comes to an end over the Natural State.
Skies are cloudy for S AR and all of our LA Parishes. Temperatures
as expected, vary greatly from sun to clouds with low to mid 50s
in sunny E TX and all other sites ranging in the 40s under the
blanket.

Our dew points remain in the 30s and all above freezing. However,
once the sunsets, some evaporative cooling will allow for dew
points to fall and our air temps along with during the overnight.
So, for now we have in the forecast widespread patchy fog with
areas of frost for the better part of the overnight, but clearly
some freezing fog could develop during some part of night or early
in the predawn as our winds will begin to stir out of the south
with the coldest readings at that time. So caution during this
timeframe may require an advisory for some areas early on Tuesday.
Our soundings of late continue to dry from the top down and will
erode the clouds late today once heating falls off. And we could
end up with just frost and no fog which would be the best case for
the morning commute. So keep abreast of possibility as we proceed
through the overnight.

The good news is that a nice warming trend will soon unfold as
the southerly winds veer to SW with highs climbing through the
60s. Our coldest lows will occur tonight and likewise warm back to
closer to average for early to mid December through the work week
and weekend. Now the southerly winds will become a little more
shifty beyond midweek with some swings around the dial eventually
bringing back some CCA before the weekend as our highs will drop
back closer to averages. The next chance for rainfall will arrive
early next week ahead of another strong cold front with a fresh
continental air mass at 1040mb plus moves into the midWest and
powers down the MS River Valley. /24/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 542 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

For the 09/00Z TAF period, VFR conditions have returned to all but
our eastern terminals where MVFR cigs continue to plague KELD/KMLU
this evening. These cigs should gradually shift farther southeast
through the overnight hours and allow for mostly SKC at all sites
by around 09/06Z. Otherwise, will be monitoring for patchy fog as
well but have only included this at KELD/KMLU for now given the
low spread of dewpoint depressions due to cloud cover persisting
throughout this afternoon. Elsewhere, any patchy fog appears less
likely as drier air continues to overtake much of our airspace.
Light and variable to near calm winds are expected overnight with
a quick shift to S/SW on Tuesday as high pressure shifts eastward.
Speeds will generally range between 6-12 kts on Tuesday with some
slightly higher gusts possible across western terminals.

/19/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1231 PM CST Mon Dec 8 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time, but reports on
any slick spots on elevated bridges or overpasses would be greatly
appreciated during the overnight period coming.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  60  46  65 /   0   0   0   0
MLU  32  57  41  64 /   0   0   0   0
DEQ  29  58  37  61 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  33  60  44  62 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  29  56  41  62 /   0   0   0   0
TYR  35  62  46  65 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  32  61  44  65 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  34  63  44  69 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...19