537
FXUS64 KSHV 050010
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
610 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1234 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

 - Wet and chilly through Friday, with widespread rain, cool
   temperatures, and lingering clouds.

 - Dry conditions settle in late in the weekend, cool start to
   next week followed by a warming trend into the middle of the
   week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 945 AM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

The next several days will stay cool with on and off again rain
through at least Friday afternoon thanks to the recent inflow of
moisture. Areas in the south and southeast portions of the region
are more likely to experience much steadier rainfall, possibly
seeing rainfall totals exceeding 1". Rain and patchy drizzle will
slowly push their way to the east beginning late overnight
tonight. There will be a brief return of the showers Friday
morning for much of the southeastern half of the area before
clearing out for good Friday afternoon. Cloud cover will be slower
to clear due to surface low pressure and ample mid-level
moisture. Areas could see peaks of sunshine Saturday afternoon,
but it won`t be more consistently clear across the Ark-La-Tx until
closer to Sunday afternoon.

A benign northwest flow pattern will set up over the Four State
Region by the beginning of next week, keeping skies clear and
temperatures near-normal in the 50s and low 60s. Overnight lows
will get chilly, with areas north of I-20 falling near or below
freezing Monday and Tuesday morning. Surface winds look to shift
southerly late Tuesday morning which will begin another warming
trend through the end of the forecast period, where we will be
flirting with near 70 degree highs in our southern zones by
Wednesday afternoon.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 607 PM CST Thu Dec 4 2025

For the 05/00z TAF period...Reduced flight categories remain
across the region, as light rain/drizzle has yielded low cigs and
reduced vsbys. The light precip should start to taper off through
the period, but low cigs will remain. Eventually, we will start
to see some breaks in the clouds by tomorrow afternoon, with low
cigs possibly lifting across our East Texas sites by the end of
the period. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1117 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  35  50  42  60 /  10  10  20  10
MLU  34  48  40  57 /  20  10  30  10
DEQ  28  48  30  55 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  31  49  38  57 /   0   0  10   0
ELD  27  47  35  54 /  10   0  20  10
TYR  34  51  41  62 /   0  10  10   0
GGG  32  50  39  61 /   0  10  20   0
LFK  36  52  41  64 /  10  20  30  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...20