765
FXUS64 KSHV 051817
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1217 PM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 955 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

 - Damp and dreary conditions will stick around until sunshine
   returns on Sunday.

 - A warming trend will bring temperatures back into the mid and
   upper 60s by the middle of next week.

 - The next earliest opportunity for cool temperatures and rain
   may come late next week or early next weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 955 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

The final areas of light rain or drizzle in our far southeastern
zones should end this evening as the forecast period begins,
leaving the region chilly and dry through the overnight hours. The
recent rainfall and already moist air mass present will create a
risk for fog early tomorrow morning, especially for the western
half of the CWA. As of now, the fog is expected to remain patchy.
However, the evening forecast package may update the fog coverage
or intensity depending on future model runs. The region will
remain cloudy until a drier airmass moves in from the northwest on
Sunday.

A wintertime northwest flow pattern will help keep conditions dry
and clear for next week. Afternoon high temperatures will be near
average for the first part of the week-- mostly in the upper 50s
to low 60s. The combination of clear skies, subsidence, and a
southerly wind shift will begin a warming trend midweek and bring
unseasonably warm temperatures back to the area. Much of the
region could see temperatures in the mid to upper 60s by Wednesday
or Thursday. Long range models are beginning to hint at a low to
mid-level boundary moving through the Four State Region during the
day on Friday, which will likely be the earliest that we could see
cooler air and rain chances return.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1157 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

For the 05/18z TAFs, flight conditions vary between VFR and IFR,
but MVFR ceilings prevail in most locations. Very little, if any,
improvement is expected for most of the TAF period. Cloud cover should
increase in coverage between 06/00z-06/06z, and ceilings may also
deteriorate into the IFR range in a few places. A gradual improve
back into the VFR at most TAF sites except KTXK after 06/12z.
Otherwise, surface winds will generally remain light and variable,
but should generally becoming southeasterly areawide after
daybreak Saturday morning.

/09/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 553 AM CST Fri Dec 5 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  49  39  61  50 /   0  10   0   0
MLU  48  38  58  45 /   0  10   0   0
DEQ  47  31  54  38 /   0   0   0   0
TXK  48  35  58  44 /   0   0   0   0
ELD  45  31  56  42 /   0  10   0   0
TYR  51  39  63  47 /   0   0   0   0
GGG  50  37  63  47 /   0   0   0   0
LFK  52  40  66  50 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...09