781
FXUS64 KSHV 031702
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1102 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

...New DISCUSSION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1018 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

 - Another round of cold rain will start falling this evening,
   continuing through Friday afternoon/evening.

 - Conditions stay dry for the first half of next week with
   sunshine returning to the region by Monday.

 - Warm weather may be on the horizon again beyond the middle of
   next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1018 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

A few adjustments have been made to today`s forecast: cloud cover
has been bumped up and high temps for this afternoon have been
lowered to align with recent observations and trends. The
persistant stratus deck will keep the region cooler than
previously forecasted, but other parameters are currently on
track.

As for this forecast period, low-level isentropic lift and
increased moisture advection will bring rain back to the region
beginning this evening. This will be a slow and steady rain
lasting through at least Friday afternoon for most areas, making
flooding not a concern for this event. Luckily, temperatures
tonight look to stay mostly above freezing, which limits the risk
of freezing precip. The exception to this would be the far
northern portion of McCurtain Co, OK who could see some drizzle
tonight. Confidence isn`t high enough to introduce this
possibility into the forecast, but is worth mentioning. Much of
the southeastern half of the forecast area are likely to see at
least 1" of rain in the coming days, with some areas furthest
southeast possibly seeing total rain amounts in excess of 2". High
temperatures in the afternoons will stay in the 40s and 50s
through Friday thanks to the rain.

Rain should be completely clear of the Ark-La-Tx by Saturday
morning, with clouds lingering until Sunday. Calm northwesterly
flow aloft should keep next week dry with near-normal
temperatures in the 50s and 60s. Overnight lows for areas north of
I-20 could creep into the mid to upper 20s without the insulating
cloud cover. However, CPC is hinting at another return to above-
average temps and below- average precip for the 8-14 day period.

57

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 534 AM CST Wed Dec 3 2025

For the 03/12Z TAFs, OVC cloud decks are expanding over much of
area airspace, dropping to MVFR and IFR conditions in recent
hours. Associated VSBY drops will also be possible with fog
development near and shortly after sunrise. Conditions may improve
slightly towards midday, but this afternoon will see further
increases in sky coverage ahead of incoming rainfall, with impacts
expected to arrive from the southwest in east Texas after sunset
tonight, spreading north and east overnight. Southeast winds will
continue at maximum sustained speeds of 5 to 10 kts, becoming
light and variable overnight before adopting a northeasterly
orientation by the end of this forecast period.

/26/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1117 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  58  45  50  40 /   0  80  60  50
MLU  54  42  49  39 /   0  80  70  70
DEQ  52  36  45  31 /   0  10  20  30
TXK  55  40  47  35 /   0  30  30  40
ELD  52  37  45  32 /   0  60  40  50
TYR  59  45  50  39 /   0  60  50  30
GGG  59  43  50  37 /   0  70  50  40
LFK  61  47  53  40 /  10  90  80  50

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...57
AVIATION...26