473
FXUS64 KSHV 020022
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
622 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1156 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

 -  Rain showers will be ending overnight with clearing skies and
    freezing temperatures areawide with a light frost.

 -  Our next cold front will see our midweek southerly winds back
    to NE overnight with falling temperatures once again.

 -  Overall, a cold week with a nice warming trend for our
    afternoons by this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1156 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

Noon readings remain very chilly for us as meteorological Winter
has arrived with an exclamation point. Mid to upper 30s for many
locales north of I-20 with lower 40s more common over our south.
N/NE winds are adding a little chill and the rain, while mostly
light, is making for a messy Monday. Radar trends are clearing up
north of I-30 and HRRR is hanging in there with this light
convective activity working to our SE shortly after midnight.

Skies will be clearing out and some fog will be possible over the
Parishes, but drier dew points arriving across I-30 will be more
likely spreading in a little frost around before daybreak.
Morning lows will be at or below freezing everywhere, so once
again limited time for preparation. However, this is a light
freeze along and south of I-20 with the colder mid 20s well north
of there in parts of NE TX, SE OK and S/SW AR.

Our highs and lows will continue chilly for the early December
climate by a good 10 degrees through midweek. Then southerly winds
will bring some reprieve, by Wednesday afternoon closer to
average, and an above normal Thursday morning before the north
winds become gusty and the clearing skies make for some more
crisp mornings by late week and this weekend. Highs in the 50s
will round out the work week, but the weekend will see average low
to mid 60s for a little change.

The clouds will gather once again Wednesday into Thursday with
more widespread showers. The WPC outlook for rainfall is very
light over our north from a trace to a few tenths, and totals of
a half inch to an inch across much of our area south of I-20. So
hopefully all good news for our drought conditions in the coming
updates.  /24/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 614 PM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

For the 02/00 TAF period...A large area of light to moderate rain
continues to move across the region this evening, resulting in
low cigs and vsbys. This will keep reduced flight categories over
most of the TAF sites for a large portion of the TAF period. Even
behind the rain, low cigs will remain. However, we should start to
see some clearance and VFR conditions across most of the sites by
the afternoon hours tomorrow, except at KMLU/KELD. /20/

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1156 AM CST Mon Dec 1 2025

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  32  49  33  59 /  50   0   0   0
MLU  32  47  26  56 /  90   0   0   0
DEQ  23  47  25  54 /  10   0   0   0
TXK  28  47  30  56 /  20   0   0   0
ELD  25  45  25  53 /  60   0   0   0
TYR  30  50  34  60 /  10   0   0   0
GGG  28  50  32  59 /  30   0   0  10
LFK  31  53  34  61 /  60   0   0  10

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&


$$

DISCUSSION...24
AVIATION...20