073
FXUS64 KSJT 101130
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
530 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- A freeze is anticipated early this morning with lows mostly in
  the upper 20s to mid 30s.

- Gusty south-southwest winds and low RHs Tuesday will lead to
  elevated fire weather conditions.


&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today and tonight)
Issued at 1220 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Wide range of temperatures across West Central Texas early this
morning, with the usual cold air drainage locations dropping as
much as 10 degrees colder than other locations in the same county.
This will continue through sunrise with multiple areas dropping to
near or below freezing. Warm up will be rapid later this morning
and have no issues with the model blend high temperatures this
afternoon in the low to mid 60s.

Surface high pressure shifts all the way east into the Lower
Mississippi River Valley by sunrise Tuesday morning, with lee
trough developing overnight. This will help keep wind speeds up
with south winds increasing to 10 to 15 mph by morning. This will
effectively keep temperatures much warmer with lows mainly in the
40s overnight. Readings will be a little bit colder across the
Hill Country where temperatures will drop into the 30s before wind
speeds start to increase.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 953 PM CST Sun Nov 9 2025

High pressure across the western U.S. will continue moving east on
Tuesday, which will leave mostly benign weather in place across our
area. As this higher pressure develops overhead, we will see
temperatures across the region increase and lead to highs in the 80s
by the middle of this week. Overnight lows will be above freezing in
the lower to middle 40s.

Looking further ahead, the next potential disturbance could move
across the area next weekend. An isolated rain shower or
thunderstorm is a very low possibility (20%) at this time. In
general, it seems that areas further to the east have the best odds
of seeing this activity.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 529 AM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

VFR skies will continue across West Central Texas terminals
through Tuesday morning. Light and variable winds this morning
will become light south this afternoon and tonight as the surface
high pressure shifts east of the area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     62  46  76  50 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  64  42  73  47 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    64  37  72  46 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   60  37  74  44 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  63  46  77  49 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       62  39  69  43 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       59  41  72  49 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....41
AVIATION...07