Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
Issued by NWS San Angelo, TX
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411 FXUS64 KSJT 021827 AFDSJT Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service San Angelo TX 1227 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 ...New SHORT TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... - Another cold front will move through the area on Wednesday knocking highs back down into the 40s for Thursday. - Low to medium chance (20-30%) for scattered showers on Thursday. && .SHORT TERM... (This evening through Wednesday) Issued at 1226 PM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 Temperatures early this afternoon have rebounded nicely after a cold morning across the forecast area. Expect highs this afternoon to top out in the upper 50s to lower 60s. Overnight lows will generally be in the upper 30s to mid 40s. A low level jet of 30 to 35 knots will develop, keeping winds in the 10 to 15 mph range, with higher gusts, overnight. An upper level trough will track across the Northern Plains on Wednesday, sending a cold front south into the northern Big Country Wednesday afternoon. Ahead of the front, mild temperatures are forecast, with highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s for most locations. Highs across the Big Country will be a bit cooler, in the upper 50s to mid 60s, where an earlier frontal passage is expected. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday through Monday) Issued at 1243 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 Cold front will be moving through the Big Country Wednesday afternoon and should be south of I-20 by maximum heating time 2-3 PM. Temperatures in the Big Country should be in the lower to mid 60s with perhaps some 50s in Haskell and Throckmorton. To the south of the front, from the Concho Valley and east to Coleman and Brownwood, highs should be in the lower 70s...with southwest to west winds ahead of the front. Skies become cloudy Wednesday night with approach of an upper trough out of New Mexico. There is weak lift over the front, mainly from Sonora to Brownwood and southeast on Thursday. There could also be a few sprinkles north in the Big Country Thursday morning, with possibly a few flurries and sleet. Kept most of the wintery potential in Haskell and Throckmorton counties...and this potential is low at 20 percent or less. Do not expect any wintery accumulations in Haskell and Throckmorton in any case and certainly little or no impact. Main concern is that there may be precipitation at all, as mid level moisture may not be sufficient. Coldest temperatures in the saturated level is around -7 C and warm level is around 2.5 C at 700 mb, so at least with the operational GFS model, would be hard to get snow, though possibly a little sleet, as it falls into the colder air near surface. No measurable precipitation expected in the Big Country over all. Measurable rainfall amounts, less than 1/10 inch, are mainly from Sonora to Brownwood and southward, Thursday and Thursday night, where there will be some lift over the cold front. Skies gradually clear from northwest to southeast Friday with drier west to northwest flow aloft. Winds return southwest Friday, then west on Saturday as a surface low moves across Oklahoma and Red River. Highs Saturday will be 65 to 70 degree range, with a cold front Sunday bringing temperatures down around 5 degrees. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1017 AM CST Tue Dec 2 2025 VFR conditions will prevail through the next 24 hours. Gusty south winds this afternoon will become light overnight at the southern 3 sites, but remain in the 10 to 15 knot range at KABI and KSJT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Abilene 45 68 35 44 / 0 0 0 20 San Angelo 41 71 35 46 / 0 0 0 20 Junction 38 72 38 49 / 0 0 10 30 Brownwood 35 69 35 45 / 0 0 10 30 Sweetwater 44 65 34 44 / 0 0 0 10 Ozona 38 68 37 47 / 0 0 10 20 Brady 40 70 38 44 / 0 0 10 30 && .SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Daniels LONG TERM....24 AVIATION...Daniels