428
FXUS64 KSJT 251829
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1229 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  A cold front will move through the area this afternoon and
   evening, bringing cooler temperatures tonight and Wednesday.
   Pleasant weather is expected Thanksgiving Day.

-  Low rain chances return Friday into the upcoming weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 1226 PM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Another cold frontal passage will be the main highlight of the
short term portion of the forecast. This front will enter into
the Big Country later this evening. Overnight lows are forecast to
be in the upper 30s to lower 40s. Highs for tomorrow will only be
in the upper 50s to lower 60s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Monday)
Issued at 106 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

Temperatures behind the front Wednesday afternoon will be around 10
to 15 degrees cooler than Tuesday. A surface high will build in
behind the front, causing decent radiational cooling conditions
Thursday morning. This will lead to a chilly start to Thanksgiving
with morning lows in the 30s. Thanksgiving afternoon will be mostly
sunny with highs in the 60s.

Rain chances return this weekend as another upper level trough sets
up over the southwestern United States. Moisture will increase
throughout the column ahead of the trough and we could see a few
disturbances move through the upper southwest flow. We`ll see low
rain chances (<30%) late Friday through the weekend as the trough
sits off to our west. The evolution of this upper trough/low varies
between models. Some have it approaching our area from the west
early next week, giving us decent rain chances, others push it
further south, giving us lower rain chances.

Another source of forecast uncertainty is the passage of a strong
cold front late this week or early next week. The European has a
strong front moving through late Saturday, bringing a much colder
airmass. The GFS doesn`t bring the front through until Monday. This
discrepancy in timing has led to a roughly 30 degree temperature
difference between models for Sunday`s highs. Our current forecast
is somewhere in the middle, leaning more towards the warmer
solutions.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1113 AM CST Tue Nov 25 2025

VFR conditions are expected for the remainder of the TAF period.
A cold front will shift winds to northerly. Otherwise, benign
weather will persist.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     40  59  39  65 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  40  59  38  67 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    42  62  36  69 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   39  59  36  63 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  40  58  41  64 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       42  61  39  66 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       41  58  38  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....AP
AVIATION...41