102
FXUS64 KSJT 241836
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1236 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

...New SHORT TERM...

.KEY MESSAGES...

-  A cold front will bring cooler temperatures for Wednesday and
   Thanksgiving, with highs in the 50s and 60s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Tuesday)
Issued at 1235 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

After an active morning that included heavy rain and thunderstorms,
we will see a much less active pattern through this afternoon. As
of Noon CST, we are seeing skies clear from west to east on
satellite imagery. Highs will warm into the middle to lower 70s
this afternoon as we see the sunshine return across the area.
Overnight lows will be in the lower to middle 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through next Monday)
Issued at 1206 PM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

Drier pattern returns to West Central Texas through Thanksgiving
as a weak upper level ridge moves across the area aloft. This will
aid in a cold front sliding south through the area for Wednesday
and into Thursday, bringing at least some temperatures closer to
seasonal normals for the end of November. Highs in the 50s
expected on the big travel day of Wednesday, with decent
radiational cooling setup for Thanksgiving morning allowing
morning lows to drop into the low to mid 30s. South winds return
by afternoon so highs on Thanksgiving afternoon will climb into
the 60s.

Next upper level trough will be approaching the area for the
weekend, although it still looks significantly weaker than the
last few systems. Model blends are showing some 20-30% POPs,
mainly across the eastern half of the area, and this seems
perfectly reasonable.

Forecast is starting to reach out towards early next week, but it
isn`t any clearer for the possibility of some very cold air
dropping into the area. Specific models continue to show it, take
it away, and then bring it back a few runs later. Taking a look
at some of the statistical cluster analysis, seems like the cold
clusters and the warmer clusters are split pretty evenly. CPC
still shows colder than normal as the most likely outcome for the
period December 1st-7th so At this point, will lean that
direction.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1052 AM CST Mon Nov 24 2025

VFR conditions are expected for the remainder of the TAF period.
Expect light winds and clearing skies for this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene     45  72  39  58 /   0   0   0   0
San Angelo  44  73  39  58 /   0   0   0   0
Junction    43  76  40  63 /   0   0   0   0
Brownwood   43  73  39  58 /   0   0   0   0
Sweetwater  47  71  40  58 /   0   0   0   0
Ozona       44  73  41  60 /   0   0   0   0
Brady       46  72  41  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...41
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...41