084
FXUS62 KTBW 090025
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
725 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Hazardous marine conditions tonight into Tuesday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 725 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

Cold front continues to progress south through the central and
southern parts of the region early tonight with increasing north
to northeast winds behind it ushering in cooler drier air. Low
level moisture will linger however into Tuesday and therefore
expect skies to remain mostly cloudy through at least tonight.
The clouds will slowly thin out from north to south during
Tuesday and Tuesday night with mostly sunny skies returning on
Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 725 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

MVFR ceilings are expected to continue into Tuesday morning, then
gradually improve with VFR conditions returning from north to
south during Tuesday afternoon and night. North to northeast
winds will remain around 10 knots with some higher gusts.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1255 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

A cold front that brought much needed rain yesterday and overnight,
continues to move south. A few showers are still possible,
especially over south Florida. Otherwise, cloudy and humid
conditions continue through the rest of the day and overnight. Dry
air will begin to filter in tomorrow as well as cooler
temperatures. The remainder of the week will be dry and pleasant
as high pressure builds back in. Temperatures will remain right
around normal for this time of year. Coolest morning will likely
be Wednesday with upper 30s north to upper 50s south.

As the weekend approaches another weak frontal boundary is
expected to move over Florida, slightly dropping temperatures
again. Rain chances currently remain low for this next system.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1255 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

N/NE winds expected to increase through the day, especially over
the waters, necessitating a Small Craft Advisory through tomorrow
morning. A few showers continue to develop and move over the
coastal waters this afternoon. Conditions improve tomorrow
afternoon and remain pleasant through the remainder of the week.
Another front is expected to move through the area next weekend,
increasing winds once again.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1255 PM EST Mon Dec 8 2025

Fire weather concerns remain minimal. Dry air will filter in
tomorrow, however RH values will remain above critical levels.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  52  69  54  72 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  58  74  58  77 /   0   0  10   0
GIF  51  69  52  74 /  20   0   0   0
SRQ  52  70  55  72 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  43  69  44  72 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  55  69  57  71 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Tuesday for Coastal waters
     from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL out 20 NM-Coastal
     waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-
     Tampa Bay waters-Waters from Englewood to Tarpon Springs FL
     out 20 to 60 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee
     River FL out 20 to 60 NM.


&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Close
DECISION SUPPORT...Pearce
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Davis