Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
515 FXUS62 KTBW 300112 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 812 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... - A Small Craft Exercise Caution is in effect across the coastal waters overnight. Inexperienced boaters should remain out of the water until conditions improve. - Warming trend expected over the weekend and into the first half of next week. - The next frontal boundary moves through on Tuesday/Tuesday night bringing the next chance of showers and storms to the area. && .UPDATE... Issued at 725 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025 Winds are diminishing across the area, but will remain at the exercise caution level overnight over the coastal waters. Temperatures and moisture will continue to increase into early next week as ridging remains across the area. The next cold front will then move through the area Tuesday/Tuesday night, with some showers and storms possible along and ahead of the front. Current forecast on track with no updates planned. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 725 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025 Winds are diminishing, with generally easterly winds around 6-8kts overnight. Winds increase to 10-12kts after 14z tomorrow, then drop off after sunset. Will have some SCT-BKN VFR ceilings through the day, but no restrictions expected. && .MARINE... Issued at 725 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025 Winds are diminishing, but SCEC conditions continue overnight across the coastal waters. Winds will continue to come down into the 10-15 kt range for Sunday, and then continue there into early next week. A cold front is then slated to move through the waters Tuesday/Tuesday night, with some showers and storms possible along and ahead of it. Winds may increase to SCEC/SCA range ahead of the front from the south Monday night/Tuesday, so will be monitoring for that. Update is out. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 62 83 65 83 / 0 10 10 10 FMY 63 84 65 84 / 0 0 0 0 GIF 59 82 63 82 / 0 0 0 10 SRQ 61 84 63 84 / 0 0 0 10 BKV 53 83 58 82 / 0 10 10 10 SPG 65 81 67 81 / 0 10 10 10 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Hubbard DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Davis