Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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957
FXUS62 KTBW 120020
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
720 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

...New UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Unseasonably cold conditions continue through tonight.

- Rain-free conditions continue through the week and into the
  weekend.

- Warm up expected by end of the week.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 714 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

After breaking several cold records this morning, we were unable to
warm up to anywhere near average. The daily highs were 20+ degrees
below average topping out only in the upper 50`s to low 60`s. We
have another cold night on tap with lows in the 30`s and 40`s and
some places may hit record lows once again. A Freeze Warning is in
effect for inland Levy County, while a Frost Advisory is in effect
for inland Pasco County northward to Levy County. Sunny skies and
slightly warmer temps expected on Wednesday, but will still come in
around 10 degrees below average only reaching into the upper 60`s to
low 70`s across west central and southwest Florida. No changes
needed to current forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 714 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

VFR conditions and winds less than 10 knots will prevail through the
forecast period.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 714 PM EST Tue Nov 11 2025

High pressure settles in over the region allowing for the pressure
gradient to weaken. Improving conditions over the eastern gulf
waters expected to continue tonight and tomorrow, therefore have let
the Small Craft Advisory expire. Rain-free conditions expected
through the remainder of the week and into the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  44  71  51  76 /   0   0   0   0
FMY  46  75  54  78 /   0   0   0   0
GIF  40  71  47  76 /   0   0   0   0
SRQ  42  71  50  76 /   0   0   0   0
BKV  32  69  40  75 /   0   0   0   0
SPG  51  69  57  74 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Frost Advisory from 3 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for Coastal
     Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Levy-Inland Citrus-Inland
     Hernando-Inland Pasco-Sumter.

     Freeze Warning from 3 AM to 8 AM EST Wednesday for Inland Levy.

Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...Wynn
DECISION SUPPORT...Giarratana
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Fleming