Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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327
FXUS62 KTBW 171718
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
118 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...

 - Gusty marine winds tonight and Saturday night.

 - Rain-free conditions for most of the weak, except for a slight
   chance late Sunday.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 114 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
High pressure remains aloft over the southeastern U.S. this
afternoon while surface high pressure to our north ridges southward.
These features will slowly shift eastward over the next couple of
days as a trough digs through the central U.S. and a surface frontal
boundary moves into the southeast. This front will bring a slight
chance for a few showers late Sunday, then high pressure builds in
over the southeast behind the boundary and quickly shifts eastward,
keeping warm and dry conditions in the forecast.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 114 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
VFR conditions are expected through the forecast period with mainly
northeast to east winds becoming more southeasterly tomorrow
afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 114 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
Northeast to east winds continue through Saturday, with speeds
reaching exercise caution criteria tonight. Winds turn more
southeast on Sunday ahead of a frontal boundary, then become north
to northeast early next week with no further headlines expected.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 114 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025
No fire weather concerns for the next few days as relative humidity
values will remain above critical levels. No significant fog is
expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  67  86  70  87 /   0   0   0  10
FMY  66  87  68  89 /   0   0   0  10
GIF  64  85  65  89 /   0   0   0  10
SRQ  65  86  67  87 /   0   0   0  10
BKV  59  86  61  87 /   0   0   0  10
SPG  70  84  70  84 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$