593
FXUS64 KTSA 040500
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1200 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1200 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

  - Mostly dry weather with above normal temperatures into next week.

  - Low shower and thunderstorm chances exist toward the early to
    middle of next week, along with slightly cooler temperatures.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Today)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

Another mostly sunny and unseasonably warm day is on tap today, with
breezy south winds across northeast Oklahoma. Afternoon high
temperatures will warm into the 80s to near 90 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

Unseasonably warm temperatures will continue Sunday and Monday, with
breezy conditions again on Sunday across northeast Oklahoma. The
upper ridge that has been over the area the past several days will
flatten out early next week as an upper trough moves into the
central plains. This will allow a weak cold front to drop south
across our area late Monday and Tuesday. A few showers and
thunderstorms may accompany the front, and increasing moisture may
also allow a few diurnal showers and storms to develop Monday
afternoon across mainly northwest Arkansas, well ahead of the front.
However, most areas will not see significant rainfall.

Temperatures, especially daytime highs, will cool back closer to
normal for a couple days during the middle of next week, but warm
weather is likely to return by late week as the upper ridge tries to
build back over the area at that time.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1200 AM CDT Sat Oct 4 2025

VFR conditions will prevail thru the period. SErly sfc winds will
be gusty up to 20 kts during the day at the E OK sites before
subsiding by evening.

Lacy

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   89  64  88  64 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   90  61  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
MLC   91  61  89  64 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   89  60  88  60 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   87  58  85  60 /   0   0   0   0
BYV   85  60  84  61 /   0   0   0   0
MKO   89  61  88  63 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   87  62  86  63 /   0   0   0   0
F10   89  60  88  62 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   90  60  86  63 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...05
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...30