538
FXUS65 KVEF 071103
AFDVEF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Las Vegas NV
302 AM PST Fri Nov 7 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

* Dry, mild weather and warmer than normal temperatures will
  continue through the middle of next week.

* Forecast confidence decreases during the second half of next week
  as we continue to track an incoming system.

&&

.DISCUSSION...through next Thursday.

Ridging will build over the Southwestern US as we head into the
weekend. As this ridge builds over the area the lower Colorado
River Valley will see breezy north winds linger through the
weekend. Outside of these northerly breezes in the Colorado River
Valley, dry and mild weather is expected across the region
through the middle of next week as ridging persists. In addition
to dry and mild conditions, warmer than normal temperatures
continue through at least the middle of next week with afternoon
temperatures topping out around 6 to 10 degrees above normal each
day.

Long term guidance has been consistently showing a trough pushing
into the region at some point late next week. However, guidance has
been trending slower and slower with this trough. Additionally,
there remain major discrepancies regarding when this system will
impact the area and how strong the trough will be as it moves
through. When this system does eventually impact the area, we can
expect winds to pick up and temperatures to cool. Given the
discrepancies regarding the timing and strength of the trough plus
the inherent error that comes with it occurring late in the
forecast period, exact details regarding precipitation totals are
not available at this time as there is a wide range of
possibilities.

&&

.AVIATION...For Harry Reid...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Winds
remain light and follow typical, daily patterns. Chance of 10+ knots
less than 20%. Mostly clear skies with just a few high clouds
possible tonight.

For the rest of southern Nevada, northwest Arizona and southeast
California...For the 12Z Forecast Package...Winds remain light
across most of the region, generally following typical, daily
patterns. The exception is the lower Colorado River Valley where
northerly breezes up to 20 knots are expected today. VFR conditions
under mostly clear skies.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...Spotters are encouraged to report
any significant weather or impacts according to standard operating
procedures.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Stessman
AVIATION...Woods

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