Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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FXUS64 KBMX 310515
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1115 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2015

.UPDATE...
FOR 06Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

TEMPERATURES ARE DROPPING OFF NICELY THIS EVENING AND ONLY NEEDING
TO TO DO SOME HOURLY ADJUSTMENTS. TEMPERATURES TO BOTTOM OUT IN
THE 20S AREA WIDE. THERE STILL WILL BE SOME CLOUDS THAT WORK INTO
THE NORTHWEST AFTER 3 AM...BUT LOWS SHOULD ALREADY HAVE DROPPED IN
THESE LOCATIONS. UPDATES ARE OUT.

16

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS AFTER THE 12Z TIME FRAME WILL EVENTUALLY
THICKEN AND LOWER LATE IN THE DAY. WINDS SHIFT TO MORE FROM THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER 18Z BUT WILL REMAIN AT OR BELOW 7 KTS.

16


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
/ISSUED 326 PM CST FRI JAN 30 2015/

THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEKEND SHOULD BE FAIRLY NICE WITH DRY
WEATHER AND HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S ON SATURDAY. A QUICK
TRANSITION WILL TAKE PLACE ON SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY WITH
INCREASING SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW AS A TROUGH APPROACHES FROM
THE WEST. HAVE RAISED POPS CLOSER TO 100 FOR SUNDAY AS A FAIRLY
STRONG COLD FRONT PASSES THROUGH. RAIN SHOULD EXIT THE FORECAST
AREA BY DAYBREAK MONDAY WITH BREEZY CONDITIONS AND HIGHS RANGING
FROM THE UPPER 30S NORTH TO NEAR 50 SOUTH.

DRY WEATHER ON MONDAY AFTERNOON WILL CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY BEFORE
ANOTHER SYSTEM QUICKLY MOVES INTO THE REGION. A SOUTHERN BRANCH
SHORTWAVE IS EXPECTED TO EJECT WITH A PUSH OF COLD AIR FROM
CANADA. THIS MAY LEAD TO A COLD RAIN ON WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY AS
A WEAK SURFACE LOW SKIRTS THE GULF COAST. CONFIDENCE IN TIMING AND
PLACEMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS LOW. COLDER WEATHER MAY MOVE IN
BEHIND THE SYSTEM THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY.

87/GRANTHAM

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$










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