Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 212332
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
632 PM CDT TUE OCT 21 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE AS MODELS AGREE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. A
WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT BRINGING COOLER AIR
TO THE CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY REMAIN IN THE 60S IN THE
EXTREME NORTHERN PARTS OF THE CWA ON WEDNESDAY AND POSSIBLE EVEN ON
THURSDAY. A STRONG 500MB SHORT WAVE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION LATE
THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT. THIS WILL PRODUCE QUITE A BIT OF HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDS THURSDAY AFTERNOON INTO THURSDAY NIGHT BUT DO NOT
EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS OVER THE EASTERN
PARTS OF THE CWA COULD DROP INTO THE MID/UPPER 30S AND THIS COULD
PRODUCE ISOLATED FROST...BUT AT THIS TIME DO NOT ANTICIPATE A FROST
ADVISORY.

17


&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

NO AVIATION CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT
SLIGHTLY OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST BY
TOMORROW.

NOTE...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE ISSUING SEASONAL
TERMINAL FORECASTS FOR THE TALLADEGA MUNICIPAL AIRPORT (KASN) IN
TALLADEGA...ALABAMA THROUGH THE 23RD OF OCTOBER.

88

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR IN PLACE TOMORROW AND
ALSO ON THURSDAY. CURRENT FORECAST HIGHS AND DEWPOINTS ALLOW THE RH
VALES TO DROP INTO THE LOWER 30S THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON. A FEW
COUNTIES MAY BRIEFLY DROP INTO THE UPPER 20S...BUT THE AMOUNT OF
TIME SHOULD BE 2 HOURS OR LESS...SO A RED FLAG WARNING IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME FOR WEDNESDAY OR THURSDAY.

17

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$








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