Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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000
FXUS64 KBMX 300032
AFDBMX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
732 PM CDT FRI AUG 29 2014

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

ONLY SOME MINOR MODIFICATIONS MADE TO THE ONGOING FORECAST.
MOISTURE INCREASING FROM THE SOUTH ALONG WITH A SHORTWAVE FROM THE
WEST WILL SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE RAIN CHANCES FOR SATURDAY. THE
BEST AXIS OF MOISTURE AND LIFT WILL BE ACROSS THE WESTERN HALF OF
THE CWA BUT EVERYONE HAS AN ABOVE AVERAGE CHANCE OF SEEING SOME
RAINFALL...AT LEAST FOR PART OF THE DAY. BEST TIMING FOR ANY
WIDESPREAD RAINFALL WILL COME IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH MUCH OF
THE LIFT PULLING OUT BY SATURDAY EVENING.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AND THEN A DRIER
PATTERN SETS IN AGAIN FOR THE WEEKEND. AT THIS POINT...ONLY
EXPECTING ISOLATED TO LOW CHANCE DIURNALLY INITIATED CONVECTION
MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 90S EACH DAY WITH
MAINLY 70S FOR LOWS.

88

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

PRIMARILY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT TONIGHT...WITH
PERHAPS SOME MVFR VIS FOR KTOI NEAR SUNRISE AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE VALUES
ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE. BROKEN TO OVERCAST CIRRUS WILL SPREAD
ACROSS ALL OF CENTRAL ALABAMA OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AREAWIDE SATURDAY
AFTERNOON WITH THE BEST COVERAGE OF STORMS GENERALLY ACROSS CENTRAL AND
WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE. VCTS HAS BEEN REMOVED FOR
KTOI...KMGM...AND KANB FOR NOW AS CONFIDENCE IS LOWER AT THIS TIME
FOR INCLUSION INTO THE EXTENDED FORECAST.

56/GDG

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
GADSDEN     69  89  70  90  69 /  20  60  40  40  30
ANNISTON    70  90  72  90  71 /  20  60  30  30  20
BIRMINGHAM  74  89  73  91  74 /  20  70  40  40  20
TUSCALOOSA  74  91  73  91  72 /  30  70  50  40  20
CALERA      73  89  73  91  72 /  20  70  40  30  20
AUBURN      71  91  72  91  73 /  20  50  30  20  10
MONTGOMERY  74  93  74  94  74 /  20  60  30  30  10
TROY        72  93  72  93  72 /  20  50  30  20  10

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$



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