Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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000
FXUS65 KFGZ 041031
AFDFGZ

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FLAGSTAFF AZ
330 AM MST WED MAR 04 2015

.SYNOPSIS....A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS ARIZONA AND INTO NEW MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON. A
FEW LIGHT SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION. EXPECT DRIER AND SUNNY CONDITIONS BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...
ALTHOUGH HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE COLD. A WARMING TREND WILL RETURN
FOR THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE COMING WEEKEND.
&&

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE
SOUTHEAST ACROSS ARIZONA AND INTO NEW MEXICO BY THIS AFTERNOON. FEW
LIGHT SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE TROUGH AS IT MOVES THROUGH THE
REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
WITH A NORTHEAST FLOW PATTERN SETTING UP ACROSS THE AREA. THE
NORTHEAST FLOW WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ON THE COOL SIDE FROM 6-12
DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL HIT CLOSE TO NORMAL VALUES BY FRIDAY AND THEN ABOVE NORMAL HIGH
TEMPERATURES OVER THE WEEKEND...WITH DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING.

BY NEXT WEEK...MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY THE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE WILL
BUILD RIGHT OVER THE SOUTHWEST WITH WARM AND DRY SPRING LIKE
CONDITIONS. THE FORECAST FOR THE 2ND HALF OF NEXT WEEK MAY GO INTO
ANOTHER UNSETTLED PATTERN...WITH A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING
OVER THE WEST...WE WILL HAVE TO WAIT AND SEE HOW THIS WEATHER
PATTERN UNFOLDS FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA.
&&

.AVIATION...FOR THE 12Z PACKAGE...EXPECT MAINLY SKC OR SCT
LOW AND MID LEVEL CLOUDS/PATCHY FOG WITH IFR CONDITIONS THROUGH
15Z-17Z. ALL AREAS VFR AFT 18Z WEDNESDAY. AVIATION DISCUSSION NOT
UPDATED FOR TAF AMENDMENTS.
&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.

&&

$$

PUBLIC.........TC
AVIATION.......MS

FOR NORTHERN ARIZONA WEATHER INFORMATION VISIT
WEATHER.GOV/FLAGSTAFF







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