Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ

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FXUS65 KFGZ 241722

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1020 AM MST WED AUG 24 2016

.SYNOPSIS...Expect isolated to scattered thunderstorms each day
through Saturday, especially over the higher elevations. A drying
and warming trend is expected late in the weekend and into early
next week.


.DISCUSSION...Drier and more stable northwesterly flow has
developed across the area behind the low pressure system from
Tuesday. Enough moisture still exists south of the Mogollon Rim that
any convection that initializes over higher terrain today may
develop into isolated storms when moving into this environment.
Otherwise, expect a much quieter day compared to yesterday.

Flow turns southwesterly Thursday and Friday, which may bring a bit
more moisture back north, especially over the eastern zones.

By Saturday and Sunday, high pressure begins to build into Arizona
from the west. Expect much drier and warmer conditions by late in
the weekend and into early next week.

These trends are covered and no updates are needed.


.AVIATION...For the 18Z package...VFR conditions will prevail over
northern Arizona through the TAF period. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will develop near KGCN-KFLG-KSEZ-KPRC between 20z-24z
Wednesday. Brief periods of MVFR conditions and gusty winds will be
possible near thunderstorms. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF






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