Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000
FXUS64 KOHX 310800
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
300 AM CDT MON AUG 31 2015

.DISCUSSION...

AFTER A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS YESTERDAY AFTERNOON THINGS
HAVE QUIETED DOWN CONSIDERABLY ACROSS MIDDLE TN.  PARTLY TO MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES ARE BEING SEEN ACROSS THE AREA AND A FEW FOLKS ARE
EXPERIENCING PATCHY DENSE FOG...ESPECIALLY THOSE WHO SAW RAIN
YESTERDAY.  THIS FOG WILL PERSIST UNTIL A COUPLE HOURS AFTER SUNRISE
THIS MORNING SO BE CAUTIOUS WHEN YOU HEAD OUT FOR THE MONDAY MORNING
COMMUTE AS SOME VISIBILITIES ARE BELOW 1 MILE.

BEYOND THIS MORNING`S FOG WE ARE IN FOR A FAIRLY STAGNANT PATTERN
OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  WEAK RIDGING ALOFT WILL SETTLE IN AND
WITHOUT MUCH IN THE WAY OF RETURN FLOW...NOR A PUSH OF DRY AIR FROM
THE NORTH...DEW POINTS WILL REMAIN THE SAME THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AND
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM A DEGREE OR TWO EACH AFTERNOON.  RAIN CHANCES
WILL BE LOW EACH AFTERNOON...BUT NOT ZERO...AS THERE WILL BE JUST
ENOUGH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE TO FEED A COUPLE OF STORMS EACH DAY.
COVERAGE WILL ALMOST BE NEGLIGIBLE.

OUR NEXT SHOT AT ANY SIGNIFICANT RAIN MIGHT BE OVER THE LABOR DAY
WEEKEND.  WHILE THERE WON`T BE ANY FRONTAL PASSAGE...THE RIDGE ALOFT
FROM DURING THE WEEK MAY BEGIN TO BREAK DOWN AND GIVE US SOME
GENERAL TROUGHINESS OVER THE SOUTHEAST.  THIS WON`T INCREASE POPS A
GREAT DEAL...BUT IT SHOULD OPEN THE DOOR FOR SLIGHTLY BETTER
COVERAGE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY AFTERNOONS.  WHILE POPS MIGHT INCREASE A
LITTLE FOR THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND...IT DEFINITELY WON`T BE A
WASHOUT.

EXTENDED RANGE GUIDANCE IS ACTUALLY IN DECENT AGREEMENT ABOUT A
DIFFUSE FRONT TRYING TO PUSH INTO THE REGION AFTER LABOR DAY...SO
IT MAY BE AWHILE BEFORE ANY WIDESPREAD RAINS RETURNS TO THE
FORECAST.

UNGER

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF DISCUSSION.

EARLIER SHOWERS HAVE DISSIPATED AND MUCH OF THE CLOUD COVER
OVERHEAD IS THINNING OUT. ONLY EXCEPTION IS CLOSER TO THE PLATEAU
AND THUS CSV WHERE A WEAK UPPER LOW IS LOCATED. CLOUD COVER AND
ISOLATED SHRA FROM THAT COULD STILL AFFECT CSV THROUGH ROUGHLY
12Z AS THE UPPER LOW PUSHES NORTHWARD INTO KY.

OTHERWISE...PARTIAL CLEARING AND AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE SHOULD
LEAD TO LIGHT FOG ACROSS MIDDLE TN. LOWEST VSBYS...AT TIMES BELOW
1 SM...SHOULD BE LOCATED AT CKV AND CSV FROM 07-13Z WHERE RAIN
FELL EARLIER TODAY. ONCE THE FOG BURNS OFF MID-MORNING
MONDAY...VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THRU 06Z TUESDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
NASHVILLE      87  67  90  70  91 /  20  10  20  10  20
CLARKSVILLE    86  66  89  69  90 /  20  10  20   0  10
CROSSVILLE     80  64  83  67  84 /  20  10  20  10  20
COLUMBIA       86  66  90  69  90 /  20  10  20   0  20
LAWRENCEBURG   85  66  89  69  90 /  20  10  20   0  20
WAVERLY        87  67  89  70  90 /  20  10  20   0  10

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$



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