Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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683
FXUS64 KOHX 072328
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
528 PM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

.UPDATE...
FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

HAVE GONE AHEAD AND ISSUED WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN
MIDDLE TENNESSEE AND PLATEAU FROM NOON MONDAY UNTIL 6 PM CST
TUESDAY. MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE COMING QUICKLY TO MIDDLE TENNESSEE
AS UPPER TROUGH OVER THE HIGH PLAINS OF THE DAKOTAS TODAY DROPS
DOWN AND MOVES INTO THE MID STATE TONIGHT. INITIAL FRONT MOVES
THROUGH TONIGHT DROPPING TEMPS INTO THE MIDDLE 30S BY THIS TIME ON
MONDAY AND IT GETS COLDER AS WE GO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A SECONDARY
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY EVENING ON MONDAY
AND THIS IS THE ONE WITH BONE CHILLING AIR BEHIND IT. ANY PRECIP
TONIGHT WILL START OUT AS RAIN THEN BECOME MIXED WITH SNOW IN THE
OVERNIGHT BEFORE TRANSITIONING TO ALL SNOW MONDAY AFTERNOON NORTH
HALF. SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND DURING THE DAY TUESDAY WILL BE
OFF AND ON. 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IS LIKELY IN THE ADVISORY AREA
BUT IT WON`T ALL COME AT ONE TIME...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE
IN THE UPPER CUMBERLAND. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE WEST OF
THE PLATEAU MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. DEEP UPPER TROUGH WILL
REMAIN OVER EASTERN U.S. THIS WEEK AND THAT MEANS COLD TEMPS FOR
THE MID STATE. SO BUNDLE UP!

&&

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF DISCUSSION.

ARCTIC AIR MASS WILL APPROACH MID-STATE OVER THE NEXT 12 HOURS.
VFR FLIGHT RULES WILL PERSIST UNTIL MID-MORNING MONDAY BEFORE THE
ATMOSPHERE SATURATES TO DROP CIGS TO MVFR. THIS SHOULD BEGIN
OCCURRING IN THE 16-18Z TIME FRAME. PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE FAIRLY
LIGHT SO VIS SHOULD NOT FALL TO IFR...BUT CIGS COULD BE IFR
TOWARD THE END OF THE CYCLE.

WINDS WILL BE LIGHT TONIGHT THEN PICK UP MONDAY MORNING AS THEY
SHIFT TO THE SW THEN WEST LATE MORNING. WESTERLY GUSTS OF
18-20 KTS WILL BE COMMON.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FROM NOON MONDAY TO 6 PM CST TUESDAY FOR
CLAY-CUMBERLAND-DE KALB-FENTRESS-GRUNDY-JACKSON-OVERTON-PICKETT-
PUTNAM-VAN BUREN-WARREN-WHITE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION........UNGER
LONG TERM..................01/BOYD



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