Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN

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000
FXUS64 KOHX 182350
AFDOHX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NASHVILLE TN
650 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
WILL REMOVE THE EVENING POPS ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTERN ZONES. THE
ACTIVITY IS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA AND THE HRRR HAS
SIGNALED NO ADDITIONAL OVERNIGHT DEVELOPMENT. OTW...UPDATE WILL
REMOVE THE AFT WORDING. REMAINDER OF FCST IN GOOD SHAPE.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 613 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014/

UPDATE...FOR 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.

AVIATION...00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION.
MAYBE SOME ISO SHWRS W/SW OF TAF SITES THRU 19/03Z...BUT NO FORMATION/IMPACTS
AT TAF SITES EXPECTED. GENERALLY DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO WORK INTO MID STATE
THRU 19/24Z...BUT EXPECT CKV/CSV TO STILL EXPERIENCE MVFR FOG...TEMPO IFR FOG
CSV...19/10Z-19/14Z. RIDGING INFLUENCES SFC/ALOFT SHOULD PROVIDE FOR SOME
SCT DIURNAL CU DEVELOPMENT 19/15Z-19/24Z.

PREV DISCUSSION.../ISSUED 242 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...ACTIVE WEATHER OCCURRING OVER THE SW CORNER OF
MIDDLE TENNESSEE, WHERE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY ARE
GREATEST. MAY SEE A FEW SHOWERS LINGER THERE INTO THE EARLY
EVENING. OTHERWISE, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE GREAT
LAKES CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER. UPPER TROUGH IS NOW
SITUATED TO OUR EAST, WITH A NW FLOW ALOFT. AT THE SURFACE, LOOK
FOR TEMPERATURES TO CONTINUE WARMING AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE NEXT SURFACE FRONT WILL ENTER MIDDLE TENNESSEE FROM THE NW
SATURDAY NIGHT OR SUNDAY MORNING, WITH MAINLY SCATTERED POP`S WITH
THE FRONT. FORECAST SOUNDINGS DO SHOW SOME INSTABILITY WITH THIS
SYSTEM, SO WILL INCLUDE THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST. LOOK FOR
SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES HEADING INTO NEXT WEEK WITH VERY
LITTLE CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION MONDAY THRU THURSDAY.

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.

&&

$$

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