Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 300031 AAA
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
831 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2015

.UPDATE...
ANOTHER QUIET NIGHT EXPECTED AS THE AREA REMAINS UNDER CLEAR
SKIES. A STRONG SUBSIDENCE INVERSION AT 850MB WAS EVIDENT ON THE
EVENING SOUNDING AS THE KTBW RAOB ONLY MEASURED 0.37 INCHES OF
PRECIPITABLE WATER. THIS IS NEARLY 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS BELOW
NORMAL FOR LATE MARCH. LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL ALLOW FOR
TEMPS TO COOL QUICKLY TONIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOW TEMPS WILL CONTINUE
SOME 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMS WITH LOWER 40S
EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE NATURE COAST WITH LOWER 50S ACROSS FAR
SW FLORIDA. NO MAJOR CHANGES NEEDED FOR THE EVENING UPDATE.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS SKIES WILL BE CLEAR WITH LIGHT NE/EAST
WINDS EXPECTED. VFR CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON
MONDAY WITH CONTINUED MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES.

&&

.MARINE...
THE WATERS WILL REMAIN UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF HIGH PRESSURE
RESULTING IN WINDS AROUND OR BELOW 15 KNOTS AND SEAS BELOW 3 FEET TO
START THE WEEK. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL NEAR THE WATERS LATER
IN THE WEEK...WHICH COULD INCREASE THE POTENTIAL FOR RAIN AND BRING
HIGHER WINDS AND WAVES.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  52  75  61  79 /   0   0  10  10
FMY  52  80  58  82 /   0   0   0  10
GIF  49  78  59  82 /   0   0   0  20
SRQ  52  74  60  77 /   0   0   0  10
BKV  41  76  52  79 /   0   0  10  10
SPG  58  74  64  79 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...11/MCKAUGHAN
MARINE...02/GARCIA
DECISION SUPPORT...57/MCMICHAEL


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