Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 271723
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
123 PM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the period.
TPA/PIE/SRQ should remain rain free today, but will hold VCTS for
LAL/PGD/FMY/RSW between 18Z to 00Z. Winds have turned on shore out
of the west-southwest with the sea breeze remaining less than 10
knots through the evening, then becoming light and variable
overnight. No other aviation impacts expected.

&&

.Prev Discussion... /issued 938 AM EDT Thu Jul 27 2017/

MORNING UPDATE...
The main weather concern once again today will be hot temperatures.
Most stations are already reporting temps in the mid 80`s and will
continue to heat up quickly over the next few hours. Heat indices
will approach 100 in some locations by noon with most of the region
seeing 100-103 degree heat indices through the afternoon. The
showers and storms that popped up over the coastal waters west of
Tampa Bay early this morning are continuing to dissipate. The next
round of showers will develop along the sea breeze this afternoon
and move inland with the highest chances (30-50 POPs) over the
inland counties. Forecast looks good for now with no changes needed.

AVIATION...
The thunderstorms west of SRQ from earlier this morning have
dissipated. VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the
period. TPA/PIE/SRQ should remain rain free today, but will hold
VCTS for LAL/PGD/FMY/RSW between 18Z to 00Z. Winds will remain light
and variable this morning, then turning on shore this afternoon, but
remaining less than 10 knots. No other aviation impacts expected.

MARINE...
Surface high pressure will persist from the Atlantic west across the
south central Florida peninsula and into the eastern Gulf through
the end of the week with light winds and slight seas continuing.
During the upcoming weekend a slight uptick in winds can be expected
across the central and northern waters as the gradient tightens some
as an amplifying upper level trough over the eastern U.S. pushes an
attendant cold front toward the northern Florida peninsula. Wind and
seas will be higher in the vicinity of thunderstorms, otherwise no
headlines are anticipated through the period.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA  79  92  80  89 /  10  10  30  40
FMY  78  94  78  90 /  10  10  20  40
GIF  76  95  76  91 /  20  30  10  40
SRQ  79  92  79  88 /  10  10  30  30
BKV  75  93  76  89 /  10  10  30  40
SPG  80  91  80  89 /  10  10  30  40

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...74/Wynn
MID TERM/LONG TERM/DECISION SUPPORT...05/Carlisle



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