Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

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000
ACUS01 KWNS 010542
SWODY1
SPC AC 010540

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM CDT TUE SEP 01 2015

VALID 011200Z - 021200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SUMMARY...
ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT FORECAST OVER THE CONTIGUOUS UNITED
STATES THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY.

...DISCUSSION...
BELT OF STRONG MID-LEVEL WLYS WILL REMAIN CONFINED ACROSS THE FAR NW
DURING THE PERIOD...LARGELY MITIGATING THE POTENTIAL FOR ORGANIZED
CONVECTION ACROSS THE CONUS. A WEAK PERTURBATION/MCV REMNANT FROM
ONGOING CONVECTION ACROSS THE CNTRL HIGH PLAINS SHOULD PROGRESS
ACROSS THE MID-MO VALLEY TODAY AND TO THE UPPER MS VALLEY TONIGHT.
ANY ENHANCEMENT TO MID/UPPER-LEVEL FLOW IS EXPECTED TO BE MODEST.
THE SURFACE PATTERN SHOULD FEATURE AN ONGOING WEAK FRONT STALLING
AND GRADUALLY ADVANCING N IN THE UPPER MIDWEST. WHILE AN ISOLATED
STRONG STORM IS POSSIBLE LATE AFTERNOON/EVENING FROM THE CNTRL HIGH
PLAINS TO THE UPPER MS VALLEY...POTENTIAL APPEARS TOO LOW FOR
MARGINAL SEVERE RISK PROBABILITIES THIS OUTLOOK.

..GRAMS/PICCA.. 09/01/2015



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