Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 292014
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
314 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Subtropical moisture will continue to be brought northward across
the panhandles between an upper level low to our northwest and a
ridge of high pressure to our east through at mid week.  A ridge of
high pressure will build over the northern rockies by Tuesday and
then it will move into the northern plains by Wednesday which will
keep the upper level low pretty much parked over Colorado. By
Wednesday and Thursday the upper level low will start to diminish
and sink southward toward the panhandles as it shears out. Showers
and thunderstorms will continue to be a fairly good bet from tonight
through Thursday given the lift with the upper level low and the
subtropical moisture. Still think there could be at least slight
chances of showers and thunderstorms Friday through next weekend
even with the upper level low out of the picture.  The flow aloft
becomes increasingly southwest ahead of an upper level trough moving
into the northwest U.S. and this flow may bring several upper level
short wave troughs with it which could help to produce showers and
thunderstorms.

High temperatures will be generally below normal through much of the
week with highs getting back to around climo by the weekend as the
chances of rain diminish some.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Will keep the Flood Watch going for the central and eastern Oklahoma
Panhandle and the north central and eastern Texas Panhandle. Heavy
rain producing thunderstorms will be possible across this area late
this afternoon into the early part of the evening, but then there
may be a lull in the activity late tonight with the loss of daytime
heating. Thunderstorms with heavy rain are then expected to develop
again on Tuesday in the watch area.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                63  78  63  81  63 /  70  60  50  50  40
Beaver OK                  65  84  65  84  64 /  50  50  60  60  50
Boise City OK              60  77  59  81  60 /  60  50  50  30  30
Borger TX                  65  81  65  83  65 /  60  50  60  50  40
Boys Ranch TX              62  78  62  82  62 /  80  60  60  40  30
Canyon TX                  63  79  62  81  63 /  80  60  60  50  30
Clarendon TX               65  83  66  84  66 /  50  60  50  40  40
Dalhart TX                 61  77  61  80  61 /  80  60  60  40  30
Guymon OK                  63  80  63  83  63 /  50  50  60  40  40
Hereford TX                61  78  61  80  62 /  80  60  60  50  30
Lipscomb TX                66  84  65  84  65 /  50  50  60  50  50
Pampa TX                   64  81  64  82  64 /  60  50  60  50  40
Shamrock TX                67  86  67  86  66 /  50  50  50  50  40
Wellington TX              67  87  68  88  68 /  50  50  40  50  40

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for the following zones:
     Collingsworth...Donley...Gray...Hansford...Hemphill...
     Hutchinson...Lipscomb...Ochiltree...Roberts...Wheeler.

OK...Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for the following zones:
     Beaver...Texas.


&&

$$

3/15



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