Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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FXUS64 KAMA 190919
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
319 AM CST Thu Jan 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Weak cold front associated with a closed low continues to work
its way into the Panhandles. Current winds out of the south, but
expect the northwestern OK Panhandle to get a wind shift out of the
north, with other areas to follow. This will exit quick enough with
ridging behind it to allow for a warmer temperatures this afternoon.
Highs expected to be in the upper 50s to mid 60s today.

Friday a shortwave trough will push through the Panhandles and will
kick up the winds with near advisory winds across the western and
southern Panhandles.  It looks like we will be in the dry slot
region and do not have any pops for the time being on Friday.
Lowering heights with the shortwave will make for a cooler Friday
through the weekend.  This is due to an open trough behind the
shortwave that will move across central Texas.  Cloud coverage will
increase on Saturday and have kept the pops going for the day and
have slightly increased them into the evening. GFS model still
trying to develop a closed low over the Panhandles Saturday evening,
with return flow to the northern TX Panhandle and the OK Panhandle
as well.  Precipitation is expected to start off as rain, but may
change to snow, especially behind the low with the return flow.
However, do not anticipate that snowfall amounts will be
significant.

Sunday morning dry cool northwest flow will take place with
temperatures in the 50s.  By Monday high pressure will be over the
area and temperatures will be back to the mid 50s to lower 60s. The
next weather system is expected to impact the area on Tuesday as
another shortwave trough approaches.  As heights will fall
significantly with this system, right now there is a slight chance
of snow, mainly across the OK Panhandle on Tuesday.  Wind could be
another issue as one model has the area in the dry slot.  Cooler air
will settle in for Wednesday as highs will only be in the upper 30s
to lower 40s.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                64  38  60  37  54 /   0   0   5  10  20
Beaver OK                  56  32  61  33  51 /   0   0  10   5  20
Boise City OK              62  31  53  29  47 /   0   0  10  10  20
Borger TX                  65  38  62  37  55 /   0   0   5  10  20
Boys Ranch TX              64  37  60  36  54 /   0   0   5  10  20
Canyon TX                  64  39  60  37  54 /   0   0   5   5  20
Clarendon TX               66  40  64  39  58 /   0   0   5   5  20
Dalhart TX                 65  32  58  31  51 /   0   0   5  10  20
Guymon OK                  60  31  57  31  50 /   0   0  10   5  20
Hereford TX                65  39  59  37  54 /   0   0   5   5  20
Lipscomb TX                61  33  64  35  54 /   0   0   0   0  20
Pampa TX                   62  37  63  36  53 /   0   0   5  10  20
Shamrock TX                66  36  67  39  58 /   0   0   0   5  20
Wellington TX              66  38  67  41  60 /   0   0   5  10  20

&&

.AMA Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
TX...None.
OK...None.

&&

$$

89



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