Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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000
FXUS63 KGLD 281910
AFDGLD

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
110 PM MDT THU AUG 28 2014

.SHORT TERM...(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM MDT THU AUG 28 2014

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP BY EARLY TO MID
AFTERNOON AS SURFACE TEMPERATURES RISE INTO THE UPPER 70S AND
LOWER 80S AND COLDER AIR ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH COLORADO UPPER LOW
BEGINS TO OVERSPREAD THE AREA FROM WEST TO EAST. STORM MOVEMENT
WILL BE AROUND 15 MPH SO THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR LOCAL AREAS TO
RECEIVE HEAVY RAINFALL...HOWEVER A WIDESPREAD HEAVY RAIN EVENT IS
NOT ANTICIPATED. MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL HOLD ON OVERNIGHT AS THE
COLORADO UPPER LOW MOVES OVERHEAD WITH CLEARING SKIES LATE
TONIGHT.

AN UPPER LEVEL SHORT WAVE RIDGE WILL MOVE OVER THE AREA FRIDAY
WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE MIDDLE 80S.

.LONG TERM...(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 110 PM MDT THU AUG 28 2014

FRIDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY NIGHT...FORECAST AREA TRANSITIONS FROM NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT FRIDAY NIGHT TO ZONAL FLOW BRIEFLY SATURDAY BEFORE
BACKING TO SOUTHWEST SATURDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH. ON SUNDAY THIS TROUGH MOVES ACROSS THE AREA ALONG WITH
A COLD FRONT.

SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT AS A
WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVES IN FROM THE SOUTHWEST. THIS SYSTEM EXITS
THE FAR EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA (NORTON TO HILL CITY) LATER
SUNDAY MORNING. BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON PRECIPITATION CHANCES
INCREASE AGAIN AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.

LOW TEMPERATURES FRIDAY NIGHT IN THE MID 50S TO AROUND 60 WITH HIGHS
ON SATURDAY GENERALLY IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT
LOWS RANGING FROM 55 TO 60 IN FAR EASTERN COLORADO TO THE MID 60S IN
THE HILL CITY AND NORTON AREAS. HIGHS ON SUNDAY RANGE FROM THE LOW
80S IN YUMA COUNTY TO AROUND 90 FROM HILL CITY TO GOVE AND TRIBUNE.

MONDAY-THURSDAY...UPPER FLOW NEARLY ZONAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY BEFORE
SLIGHTLY BACKING TO THE WEST/SOUTHWEST WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AS A DISTURBANCE MOVES
ACROSS FROM THE WEST.

LOW TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD NEAR SEASONAL NORMALS SUNDAY
NIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT RISING TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS
TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT. HIGH TEMPERATURES SLIGHTLY BELOW
NORMAL MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS
WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.


&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1205 PM MDT THU AUG 28 2014

SHRA AND -TSRA WILL DEVELOP AFTER 20Z ACROSS THE AREA WITH DAYTIME
HEATING AND APPROACH OF UPPER LOW OVER COLORADO. SEVERE WX NOT
EXPECTED. CLOUD BASES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN AOA FL030.
CONVECTIVE PRECIP WILL DISSIPATE SHORTLY AFTER SUNSET. MID LEVEL
CLOUD DECK WILL REMAIN FOR MOST OF THE NIGHT...CLEARING OUT AT
10-12Z. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST AT 10-15 KTS.


&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DLF
LONG TERM...99
AVIATION...DLF



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