Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FXUS63 KGLD 212032

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
132 PM MST Tue Nov 21 2017

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 105 PM MST Tue Nov 21 2017

A cooler area of surface high pressure moves through the area
tonight with a lee trough quickly redeveloping along the front
range. This lee trough transitions across the region by Wednesday
evening. Amplified north northwesterly flow aloft late this
afternoon through tonight precedes the strong upper ridge that
moves over the Rockies on Wednesday.

With the surface high moving out of the region, temperatures will
be warmer on Wednesday with the warmest readings over the western
sections of the forecast area. Highs near 70 are possible
following overnight lows from the lower 20s to around 30. Dry
conditions will persist with no precipitation expected under
mostly clear skies.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Monday)
Issued at 203 AM MST Tue Nov 21 2017

Very stagnant large scale pattern is progged through the extended
with ridging entrenches over the western US through the weekend,
eventually transitioning eastward through early next week. A
shortwave trough is shown to rotate through the mean flow Friday
through the Northern Plains, and an cold front dropping south over
our CWA by Friday night. A substantially deep/dry air mass will
preclude any precip chances. There may be a period of gusty winds
behind this front Friday evening. An axis of strong WAA ahead of the
pre-frontal trough could also support near record highs, but
confidence isn`t there on timing (this could be south of our CWA by
the afternoon). Either way we should be very warm Friday.
Temperatures will tend to be above normal through early next week
and dry conditions should persist.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon)
Issued at 1015 AM MST Tue Nov 21 2017

VFR conditions will prevail at MCK and GLD through the TAF
period. Gusty north winds behind a cold front will continue across
the region during the early afternoon with winds decreasing
through the late afternoon and becoming light again by 00Z this
evening. Expect only a few high clouds overnight through Wednesday
morning as light winds turn southwest.




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