Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, MS

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FXUS64 KJAN 041550
AFDJAN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1050 AM CDT FRI SEP 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...MADE SOME SMALL TWEAKS TO THE SHORT TERM. IT WAS A
LITTLE COOLER THAN EXPECTED FOR THIS TIME...BUT IT STILL LOOKS LIKE
THE AREA WILL REACH THE MID TO UPPER 90S. TWEAKED THE HOURLY VALUES
TO SHOW SLOWER WARMING. CONVECTION WAS GOING ALONG THE COAST AND
MODELS SUGGEST SOME WESTWARD PROPAGATING ACTIVITY WILL MOVE INTO THE
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. THE GUIDANCE PUT THE BEST POPS IN THE
SOUTHWEST...BUT MODEL OUTPUT WAS NOT IMPRESSIVE. TRIED TO USE A
BLEND...DID EXTEND ISOLATED WORDING INTO THE NORTHERN ZONES. NOT
ANTICIPATING SEVERE TODAY...BUT AN ISOLATED STORM OR TWO COULD
PRODUCE SOME GUSTY WINDS. UPDATE OUT SHORTLY.


&&

.AVIATION...A FEW PATCHES OF MVFR BROKEN CLOUD CEILINGS ARE ALONG
AND SOUTH OF THE HIGHWAY 84 CORRIDOR AT MID MORNING...BUT EXPECT
NEARLY ALL VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION BY MIDDAY WITH WINDS
QUITE LIGHT AND VARIABLE. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS
WILL FORM THIS AFTERNOON ALTHOUGH POTENTIAL OF IMPACTS AT ANY
PARTICLE TAF SITE IS NOT VERY HIGH. /BB/


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
JACKSON       96  71  96  72 /  17   9  20  12
MERIDIAN      94  70  95  70 /  18   9  20  12
VICKSBURG     96  71  97  71 /  17   9  21  11
HATTIESBURG   96  71  96  72 /  21  12  27  14
NATCHEZ       93  70  93  71 /  23  12  28  14
GREENVILLE    97  71  98  72 /  11   6  13   9
GREENWOOD     96  70  96  71 /  15   6  13   8

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...NONE.
LA...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

JAN/JAN/



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