Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 181718

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
1018 AM MST Sat Nov 18 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 459 AM MST Sat Nov 18 2017

...Storm Moving Out...

Still some lingering brisk northerly winds over the region early
this morning.  Also, a few lingering snow showers over the central
mountains early and rain or snow showers over the far eastern
plains. Otherwise, the storm system that brought wind, precipitation
and colder temperatures to the area is just about out of here.  High
pressure will build in behind it over the next 24 hours.  Cold air
in the wake of the system will result in generally below average
temperatures over the region today and near average temperatures
tonight.  Afternoon highs will generally be about 5-10 degrees below
average at most locations today.  Overnight lows tonight will be
just about average for this time of year.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday through Friday)
Issued at 459 AM MST Sat Nov 18 2017

Generally tranquil conditions are anticipated over the forecast
district during the longer term(including Thanksgiving Day) with
primary meteorological concerns being temperatures and gusty winds
at times.

Latest computer simulations, forecast model soundings and
PV/Precipitable Water analysis suggest that an overall dry(outside
of the central mountains at times) and mild to warm
meteorological pattern should occur over the forecast district
during the balance of the longer term as generally dry northwesterly
upper flow during the period interacts with eastern Colorado
lee-side surface troughing from Sunday into Monday and then again
from later Tuesday into Wednesday as well as from later Thursday
into Friday.

The highest potential for light snow over portions of the central
mountains during the longer term should be noted Monday night and
Tuesday night. In addition, gusty winds are anticipated from
Sunday night into Monday evening and then again by later Friday.

Warmest temperatures(with temperatures running some 10F to 20F
above mid to latter November climatological averages) during the
longer term over the forecast district should be realized Monday
and then again from Wednesday into Friday while coolest temperatures
are expected Sunday and Tuesday.


.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Sunday afternoon)
Issued at 1017 AM MST Sat Nov 18 2017

VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hrs at KCOS, KPUB and
KALS. High level clouds will move over the area Sunday morning.
Winds thru the period are expected to mostly be under 10 kts.




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