Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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FXUS62 KTBW 240057
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
857 PM EDT WED JUL 23 2014

.UPDATE...
CONVECTION AND SHOWER ACTIVITY WAS NOT AS WIDESPREAD TODAY AS WE
HAVE SEEN OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS...WITH MOST OF THE STORMS
OCCURRING OVER THE SOUTHERN COUNTIES AND INLAND AREAS. THE
OVERALL RAINFALL AMOUNTS WERE ON THE DRY SIDE FOR MOST AREAS...WITH
THE EXCEPTION OF CHARLOTTE COUNTY WHICH RECEIVED AN ESTIMATED 3
INCHES IN THE CENTRAL PORTION OF THE COUNTY. THERE ARE STILL A COUPLE
OF ISOLATED CELLS OVER THE INLAND AREAS...BUT WILL TAPER OFF SOON
AFTER SUNSET. FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT...SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY
CLOUDY WITH WINDS REMAINING RATHER LIGHT. THE OVERALL SYNOPTIC
PATTERN WILL NOT CHANGE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK...KEEPING HIGH
PRESSURE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN FLORIDA. THIS WILL KEEP A
PREDOMINANT WEST SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER THE REGION. ON THURSDAY
AFTERNOON...THE SEA BREEZE WILL ONCE AGAIN SET UP ALONG THE COAST
PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE COAST AND OUTFLOW
BOUNDARIES. THE FORECAST REMAINS IN GOOD SHAPE SO NO UPDATES
NEEDED AT THIS TIME.

&&

.AVIATION...
EVEN WITH A COUPLE OF ISOLATED STORMS NEAR PGD AND LAL...CONDITIONS
REMAINED VFR THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED CONVECTION WILL
ONCE DEVELOP AROUND MIDDAY THURSDAY AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS CAUSING SOME MVFR/LOCAL IFR CONDITIONS.

&&

.MARINE...
REMNANT SEA BREEZE CIRCULATION WITH WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY
WINDS NEAR THE COAST WILL COLLAPSE LEAVING LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT. A
SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL MEANDER NORTH AND SOUTH THROUGH
THE WEEKEND BUT WILL GENERALLY REMAIN ACROSS CENTRAL OR
SOUTH-CENTRAL FLORIDA. A LATE SEASON COLD FRONT WILL BE DROPPING
INTO THE DEEP SOUTH ON MONDAY FORCING THE RIDGE AXIS TO MOVE
SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE FLORIDA STRAITS ON MONDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN
LIGHT WITH AFTERNOON SEA BREEZES NEAR THE COAST EACH DAY. SEAS
SHOULD BE 2 FEET OR LESS.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  77  91  78  90 /  10  30  20  40
FMY  76  92  77  92 /  20  40  20  40
GIF  76  94  75  92 /  20  40  20  50
SRQ  76  91  77  90 /  20  30  20  30
BKV  71  92  72  91 /  10  30  20  40
SPG  80  90  80  89 /  10  30  20  30

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...74/WYNN
MARINE...63/JILLSON
DECISION SUPPORT...20/BARRON




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