Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS La Crosse, WI

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Spot Forecast for Racine Prairie SNA...MN DNR
National Weather Service La Crosse WI
815 AM CDT Sat May 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (608) 784-8292 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Northwest winds increase today with gusts 15 to 25 mph,  Temps
warm to around 70 and resulting afternoon mixing drops dewpoints
min humidities to around 25 percent.  On Sunday, a cold front
will sag southeast across the region, sparking a few showers and
storms for the afternoon and evening. Surface winds decrease and
shift to the south ahead of this cold front later this evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Temperature.........55 at ignition...Max 70.
RH..................54 percent at ignition...Min 25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds northwest at 9 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Northwest winds 8 to 11
                    mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 2900 ft AGL
                    increasing to 7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 16 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair /19700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /133100 knot-ft/.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........3   3   7   12  17  11  10  9   11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  59  62  65  66  68  69  70  70
RH..............54  48  43  34  30  28  26  25  25
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..9   10  10  11  11  11  10  9   8
20 FT wind gust.14  15  18  19  19  19  18  15  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 2.9 4.8 6.0 6.7 7.1 7.1 7.0 6.8
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  W
Transp wind spd.16  20  22  23  23  21  18  17  16
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/100020  50  92  121 133 128 113 106 95

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Temperature.........Min 53.
RH..................Max 69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming south 6 to 9 mph
                    in the late evening and overnight shifting to
                    the southwest around 9 mph.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 13 mph shifting to the south 6 to 15
                    mph early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    southwest 16 to 18 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (67300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2500 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........14     19     17     32     39     31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      10     10     10     10     0
Temp............70     65     58     56     55     55
RH..............25     38     49     55     59     64
20 ft wind......NW 7   SW 4   S 6    S 7    S 8    SW 9
20 ft wind gust.12     7      8      14     16     15
Mix hgt (ft)....6100   500    400    400    500    500
Transport wind..W 13   SW 6   S 10   S 15   SW 16  SW 18
Haines index....5      5      5      5      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100067     3      4      6      7      8

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms early in the afternoon. Chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon. Chance of
                    thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 30 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 81.
RH..................Min 29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 5700 ft AGL late in
                    the morning, then increasing to 7200 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon decreasing to 4700 ft AGL
                    late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (144200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........28     22     12     11     18     27
Weather cov.....                            CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  CHANCE
CWR.............0      0      0      0      30     30
Temp............55     59     70     77     80     81
RH..............66     62     49     35     29     29
20 ft wind......SW 9   SW 11  SW 12  SW 15  W 15   W 13
20 ft wind gust.16     18     20     20     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....400    600    1400   5700   7000   6700
SDspl kt-ft/10007      11     23     114    141    133

$$
Forecaster...CZ
Requested by...Brad Bolduan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413767.0/ARX
.DELDT 05/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brad.Bolduan@state.mn.us