Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME

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FXUS61 KCAR 281858

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
258 PM EDT Fri Oct 28 2016

Low pressure in the Gulf of Maine will move east of Nova Scotia
tonight. Low pressure in the western Great Lakes will move into
southern Quebec Saturday, and will cross northern Maine Saturday
evening. High pressure will build into the area from the west
early next week.


An active weather pattern in the near term.  Low pressure in the
Gulf of Maine this afternoon will pass south of Nova Scotia this
evening and continue to slowly deepen as it pulls away from the
region Saturday.  Low pressure across the western Great Lakes will
move into southern Quebec Saturday.

Rain will end across the region this evening with some higher
elevation snow across mainly the central Highlands. Calls to
Baxter State Park indicate little/no snow accumulation at
elevations below about 1500 feet. There has been some accumulation
of an inch or two across some of the higher terrain in central and
southern Piscataquis County. Calls to northern Somerset County
indicate that there has been a little bit of light snow at times
at Saint Zacharie, but no accumulation, and likely no accumulation
to the north of Baxter State Park. Have cancelled all of the
winter weather headlines as remaining areas of snow in Piscataquis
County will be winding down pretty quickly late this
afternoon/early this evening. The strong wind along the coast
will drop off this evening. Peak wind gust this afternoon was 48
mph in coastal Hancock County in the vicinity of Brooklin. As the
next system approaches from the west rain showers will spread from
west to east across the area Saturday, starting first in the west
during the morning, but not arriving along the New Brunswick
border till early afternoon.


Low pressure is expected to move across the region Saturday Night
bringing a period of overrunning rain to the area. The low
pressure system will then move northeast into the Maritimes during
the day Sunday. High pressure is then expected to move in from the
west late Sunday into Sunday Night. The high will then crest over
the State late Sunday. Skies are expected to remain mostly cloudy
into Sunday due to low level moisture in the northerly flow.
Expect clearing on Monday as the high moves across New England.&&

High pressure will move to the East of the region Monday Night.
An area of low pressure will approach from the west During the day
Tuesday. This system will spread showers into the area Tuesday
Evening into Wednesday Morning. Weak high pressure will then move
across New England later Wednesday. A cold front will then
approach from the west late Wednesday Night and cross the State
Thursday. High pressure will approach from the west Friday.


NEAR TERM: MVFR/IFR conditions at the Down East terminals through
tonight, and predominately MVFR Saturday.  Mostly VFR from KCAR
north with a few pockets of MVFR this evening.  Conditions at the
northern terminals will lower to MVFR late tonight, with mainly
MVFR in showers Saturday.

SHORT TERM: Expect MVFR/IFR Conditions Saturday Night. VFR
conditions expected Sunday and Monday. MVFR conditions possible
Tuesday. VFR conditions expected Wednesday.


NEAR TERM: Gales are occurring this afternoon and will continue
into this evening. The gale warning will need to be transitioned
into a small craft advisory later tonight as low pressure pulls
away from the waters and the wind diminishes and the seas begin to
subside. Small craft advisory level seas likely will persist into
Saturday morning.

SHORT TERM: Have used the GFS/20 for sustained wind speed. For
waves: Will use Wave Watch III for wave heights through forecast


ME...Wind Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for MEZ029-030.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 1 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ050>052.



Near Term...CB
Short Term...Mignone
Long Term...Mignone
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