Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 252101
AFDHGX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
301 PM CST TUE NOV 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SKIES HAVE CLEARED OUT ACROSS ALMOST ALL OF SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON.
IT WILL BE CLEAR AND COOL TONIGHT WITH WINDS COMING AROUND TO THE SOUTH
AND SOUTHWEST...AND THIS WILL SET THE STAGE FOR A NICE WARMUP FOR THE
ENTIRE AREA ON WEDNESDAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT THAT WILL SAG INTO SOUTHEAST
TEXAS ON WEDNESDAY NIGHT WILL COOL THE AREA DOWN ONCE AGAIN. THANKSGIVING
DAY STILL LOOKS NICE AND QUIET WITH HIGHS IN A 66-70 RANGE. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF TO THE EAST ON THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...AND
THIS WILL ALLOW WINDS TO COME BACK AROUND TO THE SOUTH AS WE CLOSE OUT
THE WEEK. THIS ONSHORE FLOW WILL PERSIST OVER THE WEEKEND RESULTING
IN WARMING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING HUMIDITIES. WILL CONTINUE TO
CARRY A VERY LOW CHANCE OF SHOWERS BEGINNING ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUING
THROUGH TUESDAY. MODELS ARE NOT IN AGREEMENT WITH THE TIMING OF THE
NEXT COLD FRONT. AFTER COORDINATING WITH SOME OF OUR ADJACENT OFFICES...
WILL STICK WITH THE PREVIOUS FORECAST THAT HAS NO FRONT AND KEEPS OUR
AREA UNSEASONABLY WARM AND HUMID FOR THE FIRST TWO DAYS OF THE NEW MONTH
(MONDAY AND TUESDAY).  42
&&

.MARINE...
LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW TONIGHT WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS A
SURFACE RIDGE SLIDES OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS AND INTO THE GULF BY
WEDNESDAY MORNING. AS A CLIPPER SYSTEM CROSSES THE NORTHERN GREAT
PLAINS ON WEDNESDAY...LIGHT TO MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW WILL
TEMPORARILY RESUME AND WINDS OVER THE COASTAL WATERS MAY BRIEFLY
REACH CAUTION CRITERIA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. A WEAK COLD FRONT
ASSOCIATED WITH THE CLIPPER SYSTEM WILL MAKE IT TO THE UPPER TEXAS
COAST BY THURSDAY MORNING...ALTHOUGH LIGHT OFFSHORE FLOW WILL BE
SHORT-LIVED. LEE SURFACE TROUGHING OVER THE HIGH PLAINS AT THE END
OF THE WEEK WILL BRING A RETURN OF MODERATE ONSHORE FLOW AND
BUILDING SEAS AS THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY...WITH CAUTION FLAGS LIKELY NEEDED. ONSHORE FLOW LOOKS TO
PERSIST INTO THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.

HUFFMAN

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1129 AM CST TUE NOV 25 2014/

DISCUSSION...
PLEASE SEE 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

AVIATION...
NO MAJOR AVIATION CONCERNS WITH VFR PREVAILING THROUGH THE
PERIOD. CLEARING SKIES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY AS AN ASSOCIATED TROUGH DEPARTS FROM THE AREA...WITH SOUTHERN
TERMINALS GOING FROM BKN/OVC AROUND 15KFT TO SKC DURING THE
AFTERNOON. SURFACE RIDGE AXIS WILL SLIDE OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS
AFTERNOON WITH NORTHERLY WINDS GENERALLY BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL BECOME SWLY AND INCREASE TO
AROUND 10-15 KNOTS TOMORROW MORNING AROUND 15Z.

HUFFMAN

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
COLLEGE STATION (CLL)      40  69  41  66  45 /   0   0   0   0   0
HOUSTON (IAH)              41  70  42  68  43 /   0   0   0   0   0
GALVESTON (GLS)            50  68  51  66  53 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL 4 PM CST THIS
     AFTERNOON FOR THE FOLLOWING ZONES: WATERS FROM FREEPORT TO
     THE MATAGORDA SHIP CHANNEL 20 NM TO 60 NM...WATERS FROM
     HIGH ISLAND TO FREEPORT 20 TO 60 NM.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...42
AVIATION/MARINE...14


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