Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

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000
FXUS64 KHGX 282318
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
618 PM CDT SAT MAY 28 2016

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions will prevail for most of the evening across SE TX.
A few storms to the west of area TAF sites and a few storms to the
east but SE TX TAF sites should remain rain free tonight.
Numerical guidance suggests mvfr/lifr cigs overnight but forecast
soundings keep skies generally clear until early Sunday morning
when MVFR cigs will briefly develop. compromised with a brief
period of mvfr cigs after 12z over southern TAF sites and and IFR
cigs for a brief time over northern TAF sites. Winds will remain
S-SE and generally less than 12 knots. 43

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED /

DISCUSSION...
As evident by the limited CU development so far...the airmass over
SE TX has dried out today. Seeing some weak boundaries propagating
into the area from the NE but am not expecting any development for
the rest of the afternoon. This quieter pattern to remain in place
the next couple of days as weak ridging aloft holds over the state.
Any activity we see tomorrow/Tue will likely be with the seabreeze
and mainly during the day.

Our next best rain chances are progged to be Weds/Thur. The break down
of the upper ridge on Tues should herald the approach/passage of
the upper trof/low around mid-week. This system combined with a
late season cold front will help to produce widespread activity as
these systems appear to meet in SE TX. Models hinting at favorable
jet dynamics and elevated moisture levels during this time frame.
Will keep with high end chance POPS in the grids for these days.
41

MARINE...
Winds/seas over the coastal waters continuing to trend downward as
high pressure continues to build into the region. The light to
moderate onshore flow developing tonight is expected to persist
on in to the start of the week. No real change with this pattern
is fore- cast until weeks end with the possibility of a cold
front. 41

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      72  88  71  86  71 /  10  10  10  10  20
Houston (IAH)              70  87  70  86  72 /  10  20  10  20  20
Galveston (GLS)            77  84  76  83  77 /  10  20  10  20  10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...14
Aviation/Marine...43



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